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posted by martyb on Monday July 23 2018, @08:26AM   Printer-friendly
from the how-much-has-he-paid-for-room&board? dept.

Ecuador Will Imminently Withdraw Asylum for Julian Assange and Hand Him Over to the UK. What Comes Next?

Ecuador's President Lenin Moreno traveled to London on Friday for the ostensible purpose of speaking at the 2018 Global Disabilities Summit (Moreno has been using a wheelchair since being shot in a 1998 robbery attempt). The concealed, actual purpose of the President's trip is to meet with British officials to finalize an agreement under which Ecuador will withdraw its asylum protection of Julian Assange, in place since 2012, eject him from the Ecuadorian Embassy in London, and then hand over the WikiLeaks founder to British authorities.

Moreno's itinerary also notably includes a trip to Madrid, where he will meet with Spanish officials still seething over Assange's denunciation of human rights abuses perpetrated by Spain's central government against protesters marching for Catalonia independence. Almost three months ago, Ecuador blocked Assange from accessing the internet, and Assange has not been able to communicate with the outside world ever since. The primary factor in Ecuador's decision to silence him was Spanish anger over Assange's tweets about Catalonia. A source close to the Ecuadorian Foreign Ministry and the President's office, unauthorized to speak publicly, has confirmed to the Intercept that Moreno is close to finalizing, if he has not already finalized, an agreement to hand over Assange to the UK within the next several weeks. The withdrawal of asylum and physical ejection of Assange could come as early as this week. On Friday, RT reported that Ecuador was preparing to enter into such an agreement.

[...] The central oddity of Assange's case – that he has been effectively imprisoned for eight years despite never having been charged with, let alone convicted of, any crime – is virtually certain to be prolonged once Ecuador hands him over to the U.K. Even under the best-case scenario, it appears highly likely that Assange will continue to be imprisoned by British authorities. The only known criminal proceeding Assange currently faces is a pending 2012 arrest warrant for "failure to surrender" – basically a minor bail violation that arose when he obtained asylum from Ecuador rather than complying with bail conditions by returning to court for a hearing on his attempt to resist extradition to Sweden. That offense carries a prison term of three months and a fine, though it is possible that the time Assange has already spent in prison in the UK could be counted against that sentence. In 2010, Assange was imprisoned in Wandsworth Prison, kept in isolation, for 10 days until he was released on bail; he was then under house arrest for 550 days at the home of a supporter.

Assange's lawyer, Jen Robinson, told the Intercept that he would argue that all of that prison time already served should count toward (and thus completely fulfill) any prison term imposed on the "failure to surrender" charge, though British prosecutors would almost certainly contest that claim. Assange would also argue that he had a reasonable, valid basis for seeking asylum rather than submitting to UK authorities: namely, well-grounded fear that he would be extradited to the U.S. for prosecution for the act of publishing documents.


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  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by Runaway1956 on Monday July 23 2018, @09:47AM (33 children)

    by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @09:47AM (#711120) Journal

    Yes, of course. And, you are also free to walk into any police station, at any time, and punch some random cop in the nose. Good luck with that.

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  • (Score: 1, Troll) by isostatic on Monday July 23 2018, @10:26AM (25 children)

    by isostatic (365) on Monday July 23 2018, @10:26AM (#711137) Journal

    I wouldn't advise he do that, but if he did

    Has he committed the crime he has been accused of?

    If Yes, then he ran to escape justice. Do I care?
    If No, then he shouldn't have run, he should have trusted in the UK, and perhaps Swedish justice system. These aren't tinpot countries that push 90% of suspects through "plea bargains". It's not like he couldn't afford a good defence.

    • (Score: 5, Informative) by Runaway1956 on Monday July 23 2018, @10:40AM (12 children)

      by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @10:40AM (#711142) Journal

      These aren't tinpot countries that push 90% of suspects through "plea bargains".

      Maybe not. But, the US is. And, if you'll recall, the original charges were brought up at the behest of the US government. The Swedes dropped the case, but the US got a special prosecutor to pursue those charges anyway. Your faith in the system seems to be misplaced.

      • (Score: 5, Insightful) by Phoenix666 on Monday July 23 2018, @10:48AM (1 child)

        by Phoenix666 (552) on Monday July 23 2018, @10:48AM (#711149) Journal

        Yeah, I'm with you. The American and British governments have lost all right to trust. They are the enemy of democracy and freedom, because it's been a long time since they represented it. Torture, kidnapping, murder, theft, and corruption rather do that.

        --
        Washington DC delenda est.
        • (Score: 2) by isostatic on Tuesday July 24 2018, @08:32AM

          by isostatic (365) on Tuesday July 24 2018, @08:32AM (#711634) Journal

          Especially after yesterday

          Maybe Asange should have gone to Sweden where he would have been safe.

      • (Score: 3, Insightful) by DeathMonkey on Monday July 23 2018, @04:54PM (9 children)

        by DeathMonkey (1380) on Monday July 23 2018, @04:54PM (#711308) Journal

        And, if you'll recall, the original charges were brought up at the behest of the US government.

        That was alleged but never proven.

        The Swedes dropped the case, but the US got a special prosecutor to pursue those charges anyway.

        I never heard about a special prosecutor appointment (and a quick search doesn't return anything) so [CITATION NEEDED] on that as well. The only noise I've heard about US charges are recent, and come from the Trump Admin. Obama took a hands-off approach.
        If the U.S. Could Prosecute Assange, It Would Have Already Done So [foreignpolicy.com]

        While the Obama administration prosecuted more leakers of classified information than all previous administrations combined, there was one target they could never quite figure out how to go after without getting ensnared in the First Amendment rights of journalists. From his perch at the Ecuadorean Embassy, the journalist-cum-transparency activist Julian Assange could expose the U.S. government’s mostly closely held secrets — and American prosecutors could do nothing about it.

        But now the Trump administration is considering throwing out its predecessor’s conclusion that a prosecution of Assange could open the door to legal attacks on mainstream journalism. According to the Washington Post, the U.S. Justice Department is planning to charge Assange. U.S. Attorney General Jeff Sessions called his arrest “priority.”/quote?

        • (Score: 4, Informative) by canopic jug on Monday July 23 2018, @05:33PM (8 children)

          by canopic jug (3949) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @05:33PM (#711332) Journal

          I never heard about a special prosecutor appointment (and a quick search doesn't return anything) so [CITATION NEEDED] on that as well. The only noise I've heard about US charges are recent, and come from the Trump Admin. Obama took a hands-off approach.

          It was and remains easy to miss with the years of misinformation and disinformation. The first prosecutor was Eva Finne. She investigated, found nothing, and dropped the case. Assange asked if he could leave the country, got permission, and left for the UK. Shortly afterward, Marianne Ny, the weird prosecutor, jumped in, reopened the case, declared that Assange was wanted for questioning, and issued an Interpol red alert to have him arrested. Sweden will often visit people to question them if they can't come to Sweden or even, if I recall correctly, do a phone interview. Assange has offered this since the beginning and the Swedish government has pretended it can't hear him on either option. Assange has also offered to go to Sweden if they guarantee that he will not be turned over for extradition to the US. The Swedish government has refused to make that guarantee.

          "The Assange case has never been primarily about allegations of sexual misconduct in Sweden. The Stockholm Chief Prosecutor, Eva Finne, dismissed the case, saying, "I don't believe there is any reason to suspect that he has committed rape" and one of the women involved accused the police of fabricating evidence and "railroading" her, protesting she "did not want to accuse JA of anything". A second prosecutor mysteriously re-opened the case after political intervention, then stalled it."

          Freeing Julian Assange: the last chapter [johnpilger.com]

          The red alert was issued without any accompanying charges, which is a very unusual and perhaps unique. A lot of well-respected, big names have been backing him, though the mainstream media either ignores him or spreads debunked lies.

          "Daniel Ellsberg, whose release of the Pentagon Papers in 1971 exposed the extent of US criminality in Vietnam, drew a parallel between his own activities and those of WikiLeaks. Referring to WikiLeaks’ 2010 publication of US war logs in Iraq and Afghanistan, he stated: “I really waited almost 40 years, after the Pentagon Papers had come out, for someone to do what I had done.”"

          Prominent whistleblowers and journalists defend Julian Assange at online vigil [wsws.org]

          Now that Sweden's second prosecutor has more or less paused their case, there is just the UK to deal with. Again, there are no guarantees from the British government that once the Ecuadoreans frog march him to the door, the Brits won't just hand him over to the US before he gets to the curb. Even Paul Craig Roberts goes into some of the background about why the US is after him [paulcraigroberts.org]. I figure if nothing changes in the near future, he'll probably just be stuffed into a sack while still on the front steps and driven off in a van and then we won't see or hear of him for a year or two until some sort of mock trial occurs. That's not a done deal however and the British can still come out of this looking good, if they change their tune.

          --
          Money is not free speech. Elections should not be auctions.
          • (Score: 2) by DeathMonkey on Monday July 23 2018, @06:21PM (6 children)

            by DeathMonkey (1380) on Monday July 23 2018, @06:21PM (#711365) Journal

            I never heard about a special prosecutor appointment (and a quick search doesn't return anything) so [CITATION NEEDED] on that as well.

            So...uh....any plan to provide a citation on the claim that a US special prosecutor was appointed?

            That's an odd line to quote as a preface to a long post about UK and Swedish prosecutors.

            • (Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Monday July 23 2018, @06:31PM (2 children)

              by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @06:31PM (#711371) Journal

              No one made any claim that a US special prosecutor was assigned to any case in Sweden. I don't know where you got that from.

              • (Score: 2) by DeathMonkey on Monday July 23 2018, @06:35PM (1 child)

                by DeathMonkey (1380) on Monday July 23 2018, @06:35PM (#711376) Journal

                The Swedes dropped the case, but the US got a special prosecutor to pursue those charges anyway.

                Oh, I guess you're alleging the US somehow compelled a Swedish prosecutor to pursue the charges? My mistake if so...

                • (Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Monday July 23 2018, @06:39PM

                  by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @06:39PM (#711379) Journal

                  Correct. I guess I phrased that poorly. At the behest of the US, a Swedish prosecutor decided to pursue charges - despite the fact that it wasn't really within her authority to do so.

            • (Score: 2) by canopic jug on Monday July 23 2018, @06:34PM (2 children)

              by canopic jug (3949) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @06:34PM (#711374) Journal

              The second Swedish prosecutor was appointed after political intervention. I'd call that special.

              In the US, I don't think one has been publicly named but it looks like people are ready once he is captured . All the news on that is from last year:

              --
              Money is not free speech. Elections should not be auctions.
              • (Score: 2) by DeathMonkey on Monday July 23 2018, @06:42PM (1 child)

                by DeathMonkey (1380) on Monday July 23 2018, @06:42PM (#711382) Journal

                The second Swedish prosecutor was appointed after political intervention.

                [CITATION NEEDED]

                As I mention above I did misunderstand what Runaway was alleging. However, you haven't provided a citation to support the allegation that the US intervened, either.

                • (Score: 2) by canopic jug on Monday July 23 2018, @07:27PM

                  by canopic jug (3949) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @07:27PM (#711400) Journal

                  The intervention is mentioned by John Pilger in the first link. Looking around there is some mention by Assange's lawyer, Mark Stephens. However, it is not clear if they are both referring to the same intervention and given the implications of the possible meddling neither Sweden or the US are likely to address the topic in an official manner unless forced. I expect that a FOIA request would be dragged out for years and then, if finally released, redacted six ways from Sunday.

                  --
                  Money is not free speech. Elections should not be auctions.
          • (Score: 2) by janrinok on Tuesday July 24 2018, @06:19AM

            by janrinok (52) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday July 24 2018, @06:19AM (#711612) Journal

            but the US got a special prosecutor to pursue those charges anyway.

            Because it is what you implied in your statement. If you can't express yourself clearly then you can expect people to challenge what you write.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @02:13PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @02:13PM (#711227)

      These aren't tinpot countries that push 90% of suspects through "plea bargains".

      Ahahahaha! You are a funny man, sir!

      Well, seeing as how kvetching about it online isn't going to stop it--it's going to happen--, I look forward to seeing what you have to say when he is extradited to a shithole country that pushes 90% of suspects (including innocents) through "plea bargains" and then has some black sites to give people like Assange some very special treatment.

    • (Score: 3, Insightful) by cubancigar11 on Monday July 23 2018, @02:57PM (1 child)

      by cubancigar11 (330) on Monday July 23 2018, @02:57PM (#711257) Homepage Journal

      So how is Mr. Kim Dotcom doing these days? Or the president of what-was-that-country who was stopped mid-flight in which country in Europe? Is there any quantitative proof that UK/Sweden are substantially better than either NZ or Austira or Spain or Italy?

      • (Score: 2) by dry on Tuesday July 24 2018, @01:46AM

        by dry (223) on Tuesday July 24 2018, @01:46AM (#711513) Journal

        America has a lot of clout. Look at how they're treating Canada since they decided to legalize pot. Most countries fold when they get the "nice economy you have there, be a shame if all your exports suddenly have tariffs applied to them" message.

    • (Score: 4, Informative) by Thexalon on Monday July 23 2018, @03:06PM (5 children)

      by Thexalon (636) on Monday July 23 2018, @03:06PM (#711263)

      Has he committed the crime he has been accused of?

      All available evidence points to "no". Sweden has since dropped the underlying charges.

      If No, then he shouldn't have run, he should have trusted in the UK, and perhaps Swedish justice system.

      The UK and Swedish justice system both gave him a very good reason to distrust them. Specifically, Assange's lawyers offered that Assange go willingly to Sweden for pre-trial questioning in exchange for a promise that Sweden would not turn him over to US custody, and Sweden refused that offer. Assange's lawyers also offered that the pre-trial questioning in question occur in the Ecuador embassy or over video-conferencing, and Sweden took years to agree to that. Given that pattern, it was not unreasonable for Assange to assume that the point of these charges is to get Assange in physical custody and ship him to the US so he can get the Chelsea (nee Bradley) Manning treatment of years of torture. All this despite the fact that there's zero evidence that Assange has committed any crime within US jurisdiction.

      --
      The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
      • (Score: 2) by DeathMonkey on Monday July 23 2018, @04:56PM (4 children)

        by DeathMonkey (1380) on Monday July 23 2018, @04:56PM (#711310) Journal

        Has he committed the crime he has been accused of?

        All available evidence points to "no". Sweden has since dropped the underlying charges.

        There are outstanding charges in the UK for skipping bail. Which is pretty easy to prove he committed.

        • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @06:18PM (3 children)

          by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @06:18PM (#711364)

          Why not just change it to resisting arrest?

          Let's play identity politics. It's my favorite game!

          Skipping bail in the absence of any other charge: what the police state is like to white people.

          Resisting arrest in the absence of any other charge: what the police state is like to black people.

          • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @07:34PM (1 child)

            by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @07:34PM (#711406)

            But here in Russia we are all equal. Everyone just get charged with failure to comply with good policeman's lawful demands.

            • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @07:59PM

              by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @07:59PM (#711412)

              OMG Russia! That changes everything! Comintern! Stalin! Putin! Election meddling!

              *cowers under bedsheets in fear of the Russian election hacking alt-right incels!*

          • (Score: 2) by janrinok on Tuesday July 24 2018, @06:16AM

            by janrinok (52) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday July 24 2018, @06:16AM (#711610) Journal

            Why not just change it to resisting arrest?

            Because he hasn't resisted arrest. He has broken the terms of his bail conditions. You can't just manufacture charges based on what you imagine would sound more impressive in front of a judge. You have to base charges on the law of the land.

    • (Score: 2) by hemocyanin on Tuesday July 24 2018, @04:31AM (2 children)

      by hemocyanin (186) on Tuesday July 24 2018, @04:31AM (#711571) Journal

      Such a naive child -- to think that "Justice" in America has anything to do with what you did rather than who your friends or enemies are.

  • (Score: 3, Interesting) by zocalo on Monday July 23 2018, @12:07PM (3 children)

    by zocalo (302) on Monday July 23 2018, @12:07PM (#711179)
    I don't think that anyone with a clue doubts that if Assange leaves the embassy without a deal to the contrary in place the UK police are absolutely going to try and arrest him. He breached the terms of his bail in the UK, and that's very much still on the books with the likely result of up to three months jail and a fine. Assange likens his current status to jail anyway, so that's not really any significant change, and I'm pretty sure his supporters will rally round to cover the fine. Even then, the jail time would likely be offset against the time served in jail and under house arrest before he decamped to the Ecuadorian embassy.

    The real issue for Assange is what is likely to happen next, taking into account his paranoia and the passage of time and change of US President since he initially decided trying for asylum was his best option. Sweden (a country somewhat notorious for favouring the defendant) still has one outstanding charge of rape on the books, so the UK could possibly extradite him there if the Swedes decide to resurrect the issue, or are pressured into doing so by the US if you subscribe to that conspiracy theory. Only *if* that happens, does the possibility of extradition to the US become an issue. Alternatively, Theresa May is still desperate for post-Brexit trade deals and likely won't hesitate to rubber stamp an extradition to the US if requested - especially given the UK apparently just disavowed the two remaining Daesh "Beatles" and opened them up to the death penalty at trial. Or there's the third option - he does his time for skipping bail, then goes... where? If he's still paranoid over the US, it'll need to be somewhere beyond the reach of US drones/snatch squads, so good luck with that if he's hoping for a decent quality of life. If the US really is gunning for him, then a few years in a Scandinavian prison fighting extradition through the EU courts (which the UK is aiming to opt out of in March 2019) might actually be his best short term option, especially if Sweden's approach to incarceration is as humane as the approach Norway even affords it's mass murderers.
    --
    UNIX? They're not even circumcised! Savages!
    • (Score: 4, Informative) by Runaway1956 on Monday July 23 2018, @02:22PM (2 children)

      by Runaway1956 (2926) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @02:22PM (#711233) Journal

      Sweden (a country somewhat notorious for favouring the defendant) still has one outstanding charge of rape on the books

      Citation needed. Especially since there never was any allegation of rape. The term "rape" originated with US media, because it was just too damned hard to convey whatever Assange had actually been charged with. The US, and it's media, only understand a very small handful of sexual offenses. Rape, child molestation, sexual assault, and maybe a couple others.

      Both "victims" (or, both seductresses, if you will) clearly stated, when asked, that there was no rape. There was only some minor impropriety, revolving around the use of a condom on the mornings after their initial romps in the sack.

      If Julian learns nothing else from this, then he should learn to keep a whole box of condoms in his overnight bag.

      • (Score: 3, Informative) by bzipitidoo on Monday July 23 2018, @03:04PM

        by bzipitidoo (4388) on Monday July 23 2018, @03:04PM (#711261) Journal

        How did Sweden handle the cases against the founders of The Pirate Bay? Yeah, guilty verdicts, in a kangaroo trial. Nope, not seeing any "notorious favoring of defendants" there!

      • (Score: 4, Informative) by Thexalon on Monday July 23 2018, @04:40PM

        by Thexalon (636) on Monday July 23 2018, @04:40PM (#711300)

        Especially since there never was any allegation of rape. The term "rape" originated with US media, because it was just too damned hard to convey whatever Assange had actually been charged with.

        That's not the main reason that the US media turned it into "rape": The point of that was pure character assassination, and peeling away feminists from his base of support.

        --
        The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
  • (Score: 2) by janrinok on Monday July 23 2018, @05:08PM (2 children)

    by janrinok (52) Subscriber Badge on Monday July 23 2018, @05:08PM (#711315) Journal

    You are arguing apples and oranges.

    Of course, if he were to enter a police station and commit an offence (assault then he could expect to be arrested, or at least charged, for doing so.

    However, he has been free to leave the Ecuadorian embassy at any time he wished over the last 8 years and face the only charge that he has been accused of - namely, failing to comply with the conditions of his bail. He might claim that he would have been extradited, and he might even be correct in that assumption, but the only charge that still stands is the one that I have quoted. Nobody has produced any evidence that the US has requested his extradition from either Sweden or the UK.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @10:43PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday July 23 2018, @10:43PM (#711476)

      That's a technicality, why would the US bother to make the request when Assange isn't in their custody? It's entirely likely that they haven't made the request as he isn't in their custody and is unlikely to be in their custody any time soon. If he's in their custody, that would be the time when the US government may or may not make the request.

      • (Score: 2) by janrinok on Tuesday July 24 2018, @06:14AM

        by janrinok (52) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday July 24 2018, @06:14AM (#711609) Journal

        But he was under arrest and kept in home detention before he sought immunity in the embassy. There was no application for extradition from any foreign state.