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Emergency Declared in Rockland County, NY over Measles: Unvaccinated Barred from Public Spaces

posted by chromas on Wednesday March 27 2019, @12:34PM   Printer-friendly
from the vax-papers-please dept.

martyb writes:

Emergency Declared in NY over Measles: Unvaccinated Barred from Public Spaces:

Plagued by a tenacious outbreak of measles that began last October, New York's Rockland County declared a state of emergency Tuesday and issued a directive barring unvaccinated children from all public spaces.

Effective at midnight Wednesday, March 27, anyone aged 18 or younger who has not been vaccinated against the measles is prohibited from public spaces in Rockland for 30 days or until they get vaccinated. Public spaces are defined broadly in the directive as any places:

[W]here more than 10 persons are intended to congregate for purposes such as civic, governmental, social, or religious functions, or for recreation or shopping, or for food or drink consumption, or awaiting transportation, or for daycare or educational purposes, or for medical treatment. A place of public assembly shall also include public transportation vehicles, including but not limited to, publicly or privately owned buses or trains...

The directive follows an order from the county last December that barred unvaccinated children from schools that did not reach a minimum of 95 percent vaccination rate. That order—and the directive issued today—are intended to thwart the long-standing outbreak, which has sickened 153 people, mostly children.

What were they waiting for? A pox on them all?

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 28 2019, @05:39PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday March 28 2019, @05:39PM (#821423)

    They simply took the number of people who died in that year and divided it by the population in 100k.

    Yes.

    Thus multiplying that probability by the population again gives the number of people that died/would die again.

    The number you are calculating by doing 50 years X (1/100K deaths/year) = 1/2000 is not the measles mortality rate. Does it help if I point out it has units of "deaths" rather than deaths/year?

    This is the claim I took issue with:

    If people get 50 years old, that translates to about 1 in 2000 and is more or less in line with the other numbers.

    This is your "other numbers":

    Mortality rates are 1-2 per 1000, not per 100k, and the risk groups are worse!

    You are comparing apples and oranges.

    And what is that nonsense about first agreeing to the approximated value of 1 and then disagreeing arguing that it fluctuated by an order of magnitude? How is anyone supposed to discuss with you when you say the opposite of before 2 sentences later?

    Just look figure 1 in the paper: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1522578/ [nih.gov]

    Death rate was not constant. It was 10 per 100k in 1912 and 0.2 per 100k in 1960. This is two orders of magnitude.