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Faux News? Goork is a Canazi! Wwwhehehehheeheeeeeh 🇨🇦卐🍁

Nah, it's too soon to predict winners, and you can always have an October surprise. Biden being picked as the nominee and losing due to sexual harassment stuff would be funny though. His baggage is just obvious:

Lucy Flores isn’t alone. Joe Biden has a long history of touching women inappropriately. The media gave Biden a pass for years. It won’t in 2020. [vox.com]
'I Don't Know, Man': Joe Biden Cracks #MeToo Joke to Room Full of Union Workers [commondreams.org]
Reckoning with the Joe Bidens of the #MeToo Movement [vice.com]
Joe Biden's #MeToo Adventure Continues [soylentnews.org]

Trump has baggage, but:

1. Most of Trump's baggage has been aired. Or should have been by now. There was that Epstein tape, but it was a n0thingburg3r. Only a stream of pee can break down the teflon at this point.
2. Biden hasn't been scrutinized as closely. The creepy touching was an open joke for years but wasn't touched by mainstream media until recently.
3. Most of the #MeToo support is on the left, so Biden's creepiness will hurt him with his pool of voters more than Trump with his.

Another line of thought is that literally any Democratic candidate has a good chance of winning in 2020, even more left-leaning ones. This could be undermined if the economy remains "strong". But the polls support it for now:

Biden, Sanders and Warren lead Trump in 2020 election matchup: NBC/Wall Street Journal poll [cnbc.com]

Oh but 2016 killed the poll! Polls are meaningless! (Just correct it by 5-10 points and move on.)