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Journal by Runaway1956

An outsider's opinion:

Guest Post by Thaisleeze

Living on the opposite side of the world to the USA I am obliged to follow American politics as a stone thrown into the Washington swamp sends ripples that reach this far. With less than a year to go until the next presidential election it is time to assess the current political landscape.

Trump of course is the focus of massive media noise. This must be ignored if a rational analysis is to be produced. 2016 proved that opinion polls must also be ignored. As things stand today Trump holds the following chips in his stack:

*He is the incumbent

*The official employment numbers are in his favor

*The official economic numbers are in his favor

*His Republican approval is over 90%

*His Hispanic/black approval ratings are at record levels for a Republican

*He has made a dent in the illegal immigration problem

*He has not started any new wars

*Both Trump and the RNC are raking in record amounts of campaign cash

*He will have the vote of most people with a 401(k) account

*He will have the vote of most people in the military

*He is in control of the social media narrative

*He pushed the concept of the deep state and fake news into the mainstream

*Democrat controlled cities are clearly in serious decline

*He forced the DNC to defend their lunatic far left fringe and embrace their views

*He forced the Democrats into the farcical impeachment process

*The Democrats have little cash on hand

*The Democrats do not have a viable policy platform

*The Democrats do not currently have a viable contender for the nomination

Probably the most important fact we have learned since the election of Trump is that the deep state does exist in America and that it is a massively powerful hand on the tiller of American policy. It has also become abundantly clear that this faction was strongly opposed to the policies Trump ran on in 2016 and that they have tried to impede him ever since he announced his candidacy. It is not unreasonable to conclude that this faction does not wish Trump to win re-election. The question then becomes how far are they prepared to go in stopping him.

The most obvious way to stop Trump would be at the the ballot box. However, given the factors outlined above this is a long shot bet. None of the declared Democrat candidates can beat him. Hillary Clinton would fail again. A Republican cannot unseat him. Obama has been keeping a very low profile, it is possible that his wife Michelle could win, if she could be persuaded to run. Oprah?

What would turn the world of Trump upside down would be a financial crisis of a similar magnitude to 2008, or a major dollar collapse (Putin said last week the dollar would collapse soon). If there were a consensus among the deep state to take such action it would be incredibly easy for them to achieve given the highly unstable fabric of markets today.

The corporate credit markets could be pushed into panic by Jamie Dimon alone if he wished such an outcome and had the blessing of his buddies. Indeed, the cynic might argue that the groundwork has been laid since the start of the repo problem in mid September and the launching of QE4. Last time around the patsie was Lehman, has Deutsche Bank been singled out to take the fall this time? Time is running short for this to be an option, a crisis must be in play by spring next year to stymie the Orange Man.

The third way Trump could be stopped does not bare thinking about but it happened before to JFK 56 years ago.

Epstein did not kill himself.

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/only-3-ways-stop-trump-2020
https://www.theburningplatform.com/2019/11/29/only-3-ways-to-stop-trump-2020/

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The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:04PM (4 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:04PM (#926845)

    Yes.

    Droning US citizens, increasing the mass surveillance, continuing the fascist policies of the patriot act.

    Yes, Obama was another in a long line of corporatist politicians with nice words and little of substance. He promised to improve healthcare, and while the ACA did help out some people it was mostly a giveaway to the insurance companies by punishing people for not maintaining incredibly costly health insurance.

    So again, yes. Did you expect that to be a gotcha?

    Sanders 2020! He is consistently honest and supports the vast majority people and not the tiny minority.

    All conservatives fear is some kind of "socialism" they've been trained to freak out about, but we've seen many other capitalistic countries implement UH for less $/person with better outcomes. The rich don't want their taxes to return to sane levels so they push propaganda to keep you afraid and not supporting those who would actually help you.

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:08PM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:08PM (#926847)

    Yes.

    Good. Next is for you to realize no one running as a republicrat will ever possibly hold the answer to the problems posed by the current fascist US state.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 02 2019, @03:34AM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 02 2019, @03:34AM (#926954)

      No, YOU need to realize that the problem is not with the political parties themselves but the corporste media brainwashing the masses into fighting each other. Any single politician can stand for whst is right, no matter which party they associate with. Support Sanders and any others who pledge to back real solutions, spreading apathy is unhelpful and is a tactic used to manipulate voters. Maybe you are sincere but I doubt it.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 02 2019, @04:14AM

        by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 02 2019, @04:14AM (#926975)

        Good luck voting for your favorite republicrat! I'm sure it will finally change everything this time!

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:11PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:11PM (#926848)

    And if you think giving the federal government *even more* of a role in healthcare is going to help things then you haven't been paying attention. They will make it less valuable and more expensive. Just like 100% of past experience has shown.

    In fact, they will probably take the UH money and spend it on NBC weapon research that leaks into the environment and causes widespread chronic health conditions. Then they will falsify the budget to say they were spending it on healthcare for babies or whatever. Read this and understand it: https://constitution.solari.com/fasab-statement-56-understanding-new-government-financial-accounting-loopholes/ [solari.com]