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An outsider's opinion:
Guest Post by Thaisleeze
Living on the opposite side of the world to the USA I am obliged to follow American politics as a stone thrown into the Washington swamp sends ripples that reach this far. With less than a year to go until the next presidential election it is time to assess the current political landscape.
Trump of course is the focus of massive media noise. This must be ignored if a rational analysis is to be produced. 2016 proved that opinion polls must also be ignored. As things stand today Trump holds the following chips in his stack:
*He is the incumbent
*The official employment numbers are in his favor
*The official economic numbers are in his favor
*His Republican approval is over 90%
*His Hispanic/black approval ratings are at record levels for a Republican
*He has made a dent in the illegal immigration problem
*He has not started any new wars
*Both Trump and the RNC are raking in record amounts of campaign cash
*He will have the vote of most people with a 401(k) account
*He will have the vote of most people in the military
*He is in control of the social media narrative
*He pushed the concept of the deep state and fake news into the mainstream
*Democrat controlled cities are clearly in serious decline
*He forced the DNC to defend their lunatic far left fringe and embrace their views
*He forced the Democrats into the farcical impeachment process
*The Democrats have little cash on hand
*The Democrats do not have a viable policy platform
*The Democrats do not currently have a viable contender for the nomination
Probably the most important fact we have learned since the election of Trump is that the deep state does exist in America and that it is a massively powerful hand on the tiller of American policy. It has also become abundantly clear that this faction was strongly opposed to the policies Trump ran on in 2016 and that they have tried to impede him ever since he announced his candidacy. It is not unreasonable to conclude that this faction does not wish Trump to win re-election. The question then becomes how far are they prepared to go in stopping him.
The most obvious way to stop Trump would be at the the ballot box. However, given the factors outlined above this is a long shot bet. None of the declared Democrat candidates can beat him. Hillary Clinton would fail again. A Republican cannot unseat him. Obama has been keeping a very low profile, it is possible that his wife Michelle could win, if she could be persuaded to run. Oprah?
What would turn the world of Trump upside down would be a financial crisis of a similar magnitude to 2008, or a major dollar collapse (Putin said last week the dollar would collapse soon). If there were a consensus among the deep state to take such action it would be incredibly easy for them to achieve given the highly unstable fabric of markets today.
The corporate credit markets could be pushed into panic by Jamie Dimon alone if he wished such an outcome and had the blessing of his buddies. Indeed, the cynic might argue that the groundwork has been laid since the start of the repo problem in mid September and the launching of QE4. Last time around the patsie was Lehman, has Deutsche Bank been singled out to take the fall this time? Time is running short for this to be an option, a crisis must be in play by spring next year to stymie the Orange Man.
The third way Trump could be stopped does not bare thinking about but it happened before to JFK 56 years ago.
Epstein did not kill himself.
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/only-3-ways-stop-trump-2020
https://www.theburningplatform.com/2019/11/29/only-3-ways-to-stop-trump-2020/
(Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:14PM (6 children)
Whatever. Fact seems to be, though, that the D's are giving up on impeachment, and they're just going to shake their fingers at Trump. You know, and I know, if the D's could make a strong case, they would press ahead with the impeachment, DESPITE the Senate being held by R's.
I've already said that if presented with strong evidence of "high crimes and misdemeanors", the Senate would probably convict - or at least I would hope so.
There is no case, and the most diehard of Dems in Washington have given up. You may choose between the red pill, or the blue pill, of course, and you may wash it down with whatever flavor of Kool-Aid you prefer.
Hail to the Nibbler in Chief.
(Score: 0, Troll) by Ethanol-fueled on Sunday December 01 2019, @10:47PM
They haven't given up, they're just going to make whatever noise they can rather than work with Trump to get shit done. And make themselves look stupider and stupider in the process.
What would really be awesome is if we see defections from Democrat to Independent or maybe even Republican. That's what I would do if a bunch of sexual deviant gun-running meth-smoking politicians who co-opted my party told me I have to toe their party line.
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 02 2019, @12:19AM
No, High crimes and misdemeanors! Gonna look bad on Trump's record. First his reality TV show gets poor ratings, and is Cancelled, and then he gets a new acting job, and finally he has jinxed "Bama. Crimson Tide is loosing! Everything Trump touches dies.
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday December 02 2019, @01:24AM (1 child)
Blah blah blah I don't wanna face facts blah blah blah
You may be right about the dems, many of them are in the corporate pockets all tied up with the GOP corruption. But that doesn't excuse your lack of spine and constant support for a criminal president.
AKA you suck elephant balls
(Score: 0, Flamebait) by Runaway1956 on Monday December 02 2019, @06:17AM
AKA, the populist president is popular, and you can't unseat him.
AKA, he's not half as bad as Dems paint him to be.
AKA, he's still plenty bad, but as long as he is causing apoplexy among the ancient, dried up, corrupt, and senile Dems, he serves some good purpose.
Hail to the Nibbler in Chief.
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 02 2020, @04:07AM (1 child)
What rock have you been hiding under the past couple of months? Perhaps you hadn't noticed but the Democrats did NOT "give up" on impeachment. In fact, this past week there was a (sham) trial in the Senate with precisely ZERO witnesses called. In the next couple of days it is expected that Trump will almost certainly be acquitted of all charges, on a party-line vote. (Care to guess which party holds the majority in the Senate?)
I know no such thing. It looks to me like the Republicans in Congress are determined to follow their Demagogue in Chief, even if it means destroying the Republic.
I think your hope is in vain. Republicans have put party above country, much to their shame.
Yes, yes, yes. I'm sure you see yourself as the clear-eyed, no-nonsense realist who will brook no foolishness. In reality, you are a senile old goat. No one should be surprised at this point.
(Score: 2) by Runaway1956 on Sunday February 02 2020, @06:49AM
Agreed.
Hail to the Nibbler in Chief.