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Journal by fustakrakich

You know who is the only person on the list that has a chance, right? This has nothing to do with opinion, mine or yours.

But we do know now that Hillary doesn't need to run, so no need to bring her up anymore. Even a bunch (over 20%) of Bernie supporters will go for it

It's probably the only peaceable way out of this

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The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @04:44AM (6 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @04:44AM (#961296)

    You're buggin'!

    I hate to break it to you, but it's *way* too late for new folks to get into the Democratic primaries. Filing deadlines for state primaries/caucuses have all passed except for those in Montana (9 March 2020), Nebraska (12 March 2020), New Mexico (30 March 2020) and Oregon (10 March 2020) (Source: https://ballotpedia.org/Ballot_access_for_presidential_candidates). [ballotpedia.org]

    The four states where the deadline for inclusion on the primary ballot has not already passed have a total of 178 delegates combined, out of a total of 4,750 delegates. As such, if *anyone* attempted to file in those four states, the most delegates they could receive (assuming they *win* all the delegates in all four states) is 178+all 771 "superdelegates" (source: https://ballotpedia.org/Democratic_delegate_rules,_2020). [ballotpedia.org] Which would be absurd in the extreme.

    But just for giggles let's posit that a candidate could sweep Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico and Oregon *and* get support from all 771 "superdelegates." That's a total of 949 delegates, or ~20% of the total delegates. Which wouldn't be nearly enough to get the nomination.

    And, since sweeping all four states *and* getting *all* the superdelegates is an outcome so unlikely as to be absurd, there's no way that anyone could enter the campaign for Democratic presidential nominee at this late date and have *any* chance to succeed.

    So. You're talking out of your ass and it smells that way too. Damn, that stinks!

  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @06:45AM (5 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @06:45AM (#961323)

    To be fair to fustakrakich, I think what he is suggesting is that she might win a brokered deal in a contested convention. The big problem with that analysis is that Hillary lost to Trump in 2016; she has the putrid smell of loser all over her. I doubt there would be all that many delegates who want to see a repeat of 2016.

    • (Score: 1) by fustakrakich on Sunday February 23 2020, @07:58AM (4 children)

      by fustakrakich (6150) on Sunday February 23 2020, @07:58AM (#961339) Journal

      The DNC prefers Trump to Sanders. Hillary remains in the background. Bloomberg is handling it. All the arrangements have been made.

      --
      La politica e i criminali sono la stessa cosa..
      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @08:32AM (2 children)

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @08:32AM (#961342)

        "Bloomberg is handling it."

        The last I saw of Bloomberg, he face-planted at the debate in Nevada. You're delusional.

        • (Score: 1) by fustakrakich on Sunday February 23 2020, @06:33PM (1 child)

          by fustakrakich (6150) on Sunday February 23 2020, @06:33PM (#961488) Journal

          Yes, yes, we all enjoy the theater... but, please... watch what happens at the convention. This act has been done before with great success. It already is a Trump/Bloomberg race with a lot of background noise from the cheap seats. One of those two will win.

          --
          La politica e i criminali sono la stessa cosa..
          • (Score: 2, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @09:24PM

            by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @09:24PM (#961562)

            OK, folks! You saw it here first! I'm sure it will be fun to force feed fustakrakich crow (or would that be buzzard?) come July. Right, guys?

      • (Score: 2, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @05:46PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Sunday February 23 2020, @05:46PM (#961466)

        Is it painful to talk out of your ass so much? Or are you just so used to it now that it doesn't bother you at all?