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Journal by khallow
Sometime today, there will be more active, reported coronavirus cases outside of China than inside. The cat is out of the bag for sure. I think at this point, it's only a matter of time till a good portion of us catch the disease, barring a vaccine in the next few months. Good luck to you and your loved ones.
Moving on, this appears to me to be a real world test of various countries' public health systems, with such things as how accurate the above reports are, or how many people are infected or die due to this coronavirus.
Moving on, this appears to me to be a real world test of various countries' public health systems, with such things as how accurate the above reports are, or how many people are infected or die due to this coronavirus.
The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
All good ideas look like bad ideas to those who are losers.
-- Dilbert
(Score: 2, Informative) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday March 08 2020, @07:16PM
Of the ~20% of cases needing hospitalization, most require oxygen and many assistive breathing machines - no country will have enough. Italy just reported 1,492 new cases and this pattern will now repeat across Europe and the US. Los Almos dropped the bomb [statnews.com] when they reverse engineered the initial outbreak finding R0 to be between 4.7 and 6 with the Re being 2.4. This is a sum I like to show to "just the flu" bro's with a base of 10.
The R0 of seasonal flu is just 1.2.
There are two strains of SARS-CoV-2 [contagionlive.com] which raises the possibility of ADE [wikipedia.org] (where an antibody facilitates infection by binding to the antigen without being able to neutralize the different strain). The only time I'll ever admit anti-vaxxers may have a point. Ongoing treatment will be required [news.com.au] for a sizable part of the population. There was a video out of China showing children recovered from COVID-19 exhibiting emphysema-like breathing difficulties.
Event 201 was a pandemic preparedness simulation run by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security in October 2019 (100 years after the Spanish flu pandemic) and their recommendations [centerforhealthsecurity.org] are laughable. Politicized and centralized control of the outbreak by the CPP and WHO failed, the WHO didn't even recommend basic ingress checks (temperature readings) at ports of entry. The internet was decentralized by design to avoid these single points of failure and the responsibility for dealing with pandemics must be similarly decentralized to the state level.