A new study published as a joint effort by scientists at Cornell University, the University of Arizona, and the U.S. Geological Survey finds that the chances of the Southwest facing a “megadrought” are much higher than previously suspected.
According to the new study, “the chances of the southwestern United States experiencing a decade-long drought is at least 50 percent, and the chances of a ‘megadrought’ – one that lasts up to 35 years – ranges from 20 to 50 percent over the next century.” Not so crazy, according to Richard Seager, a climate scientist at Columbia University who has helped pen many studies of historical megadroughts: “By some measures the west has been in drought since 1998 so we might be approaching a megadrought classification!” he says. The study points to manmade global climate change as a possible cause for the drought, which would affect portions of California (where a drought is currently decimating farms), Arizona and New Mexico.
http://modernfarmer.com/2014/09/scientists-american-southwest-faces-megadrought/
(Score: 2) by VLM on Sunday September 07 2014, @11:30AM
You forgot #5, Pizza, which is
5. Add a level of indirection
So don't predict drought in a desert, predict drought in a region, where that region is mostly desert.
I'm enjoying watching this because overall society wide, its a textbook example of uneducated human response to a crisis. All the stereotypes are out to play. Strong opinions about engineering problems they don't know about. Blame the other guy. Its not a real problem. Several others.