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posted by martyb on Saturday September 05 2020, @07:30PM   Printer-friendly
from the keep-your-distance-and-wear-your-mask dept.

Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: 'The worst is yet to come':

In June, IHME predicted that the death toll in the U.S. would reach 200,000 by October, which appears to be on track.

[...] IHME previously projected 317,697 deaths by Dec. 1. The model now predicts that the daily death toll could rise to nearly 3,000 per day in December, up from over 800 per day now, according to Hopkins data.

[...] The most likely [IHME] scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.

[...] Despite the drop in new cases, the number of deaths caused by Covid-19 everyday in the U.S. has remained high, at nearly 1,000 new deaths per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

[The 9/11 terrorist attacks caused 2,977 deaths; the current US COVID-19 fatality rate is like having two 9/11 attacks each week. --Ed.]


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  • (Score: 5, Touché) by pe1rxq on Saturday September 05 2020, @08:27PM (7 children)

    by pe1rxq (844) on Saturday September 05 2020, @08:27PM (#1046954) Homepage

    What exactly do you propose? Kidnap the chinese regime and use them to replace the failing US one?

    Starting Score:    1  point
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    Karma-Bonus Modifier   +1  

    Total Score:   5  
  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday September 05 2020, @09:10PM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Saturday September 05 2020, @09:10PM (#1046974)

    Drain the swamp, Trump 2024!

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday September 05 2020, @09:46PM

      by Anonymous Coward on Saturday September 05 2020, @09:46PM (#1046985)

      > Drain the China swamp 2024

      FTFY

    • (Score: 2) by driverless on Monday September 07 2020, @02:31AM

      by driverless (4770) on Monday September 07 2020, @02:31AM (#1047390)

      Drain the swamp, Trump 2024!

      See this is why you need to preview before you click Submit, then you would have caught that typo and posted what you really meant:

      Drain the Trump swamp, 2024!

  • (Score: 2) by Opportunist on Saturday September 05 2020, @10:44PM (3 children)

    by Opportunist (5545) on Saturday September 05 2020, @10:44PM (#1047015)

    We get everything from China, might as well get the government from there.

    If the rest of the crap we get from China is a lead, it's most likely gonna be much cheaper than the junk we made domestic and, let's be honest, the Chinese crap breaks down a lot, but that's not really a difference to what we got now either.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @03:17AM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @03:17AM (#1047083)

      Our system is already broken so what's the difference.

      • (Score: 2) by Opportunist on Sunday September 06 2020, @04:03PM

        by Opportunist (5545) on Sunday September 06 2020, @04:03PM (#1047194)

        Like I said, that it breaks easily and frequently ain't the difference, but it's probably heaps cheaper and we can simply throw it away and buy a new one when it does.

    • (Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Monday September 07 2020, @02:37AM

      by Grishnakh (2831) on Monday September 07 2020, @02:37AM (#1047391)

      If the rest of the crap we get from China is a lead, it's most likely gonna be much cheaper than the junk we made domestic and, let's be honest, the Chinese crap breaks down a lot, but that's not really a difference to what we got now either.

      People who complain about Chinese quality somehow forgot just how bad American manufacturing quality has been in the past. Do they not remember how utterly awful American-made cars were in the 70s and 80s? There's a reason Japanese cars became so popular, and it wasn't the price tag.

      As far as I can tell, American-made stuff is only really great if it's some small-scale boutique item with a very high price tag. Anything mass-produced in this country has generally been of mediocre quality if not worse, and only got better when faced with overwhelming foreign competition (as in the case of the automakers) forced them to either get their quality and reliability out of the toilet or go under (and many manufacturers did go under).

      Face it, America has never been famous for impeccable quality in manufacturing or fantastic engineering. The Japanese hold the reputation for highest quality, and the Germans have long been considered to have great engineering. The only field where I can honestly say America is really better than the rest of the world is software. Just look at mobile phones: they can't make them here (we just don't have the technology to manufacture them, particularly the screens), but the software on them mostly comes from the US (Google/Apple).