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Key Coronavirus Forecast Predicts Over 410,000 Total U.S. Deaths by Jan. 1: "Worst is Yet to Come"

posted by martyb on Saturday September 05 2020, @07:30PM   
from the keep-your-distance-and-wear-your-mask dept.

upstart writes in with an IRC submission for aristarchus:

Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: 'The worst is yet to come':

In June, IHME predicted that the death toll in the U.S. would reach 200,000 by October, which appears to be on track.

[...] IHME previously projected 317,697 deaths by Dec. 1. The model now predicts that the daily death toll could rise to nearly 3,000 per day in December, up from over 800 per day now, according to Hopkins data.

[...] The most likely [IHME] scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.

[...] Despite the drop in new cases, the number of deaths caused by Covid-19 everyday in the U.S. has remained high, at nearly 1,000 new deaths per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

[The 9/11 terrorist attacks caused 2,977 deaths; the current US COVID-19 fatality rate is like having two 9/11 attacks each week. --Ed.]

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Original Submission

• Re:too many Re:too many (Score: 1, Touché) by Anonymous Coward on Saturday September 05 2020, @08:55PM (3 children)

  by Anonymous Coward on Saturday September 05 2020, @08:55PM (#1046967)

  There are too many people, burning too much energy, contributing to man made global warming. This pandemic will reduce the number of humans polluting the earth, therefore the pandemic is a Good Thing™. Let the bodies fall where they may.

  Done and done. Let's start with you.

  Parent

  Starting Score:	0		points
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• Re:too many Re:too many (Score: 2) by barbara hudson on Sunday September 06 2020, @01:53AM (2 children)

  by barbara hudson (6443) <barbara.Jane.hudson@icloud.com> on Sunday September 06 2020, @01:53AM (#1047067) Journal

  I already said that there's way too many people, and that if I die of covid I'm okay with that, because we really do need to reduce the population.

  Of course, I also wear a mask, wash my hands, and do about 4 metres distancing or more when possible, because the whole 2 metres rule was based on 15 minutes and the flu. Not hours at a time and covid. I have no problem with the anti-mask gang self-selecting to be the next to die, and thank them for their sacrifice.

  --
  SoylentNews is social media. Says so right in the slogan. Soylentnews is people, not tech.

  Parent

  • Re:too many Re:too many (Score: 1, Insightful) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @07:18PM (1 child)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @07:18PM (#1047252)

    I have no problem with the anti-mask gang self-selecting to be the next to die, and thank them for their sacrifice.

    Unfortunately they are like drunk drivers and they take out the innocent along the way.

    Parent

    • Re:too many (Score: 2) by barbara hudson on Monday September 07 2020, @01:15AM

      by barbara hudson (6443) <barbara.Jane.hudson@icloud.com> on Monday September 07 2020, @01:15AM (#1047366) Journal

      They (anti-mask crowds) tend to stick with their own kind. Which is fine with me, it's their funeral.

      Licking toilets to "show that covid is a hoax" folks pretty much says it all.

      --
      SoylentNews is social media. Says so right in the slogan. Soylentnews is people, not tech.

      Parent