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Key Coronavirus Forecast Predicts Over 410,000 Total U.S. Deaths by Jan. 1: "Worst is Yet to Come"

posted by martyb on Saturday September 05 2020, @07:30PM   Printer-friendly
from the keep-your-distance-and-wear-your-mask dept.

upstart writes in with an IRC submission for aristarchus:

Key coronavirus forecast predicts over 410,000 total U.S. deaths by Jan. 1: 'The worst is yet to come':

In June, IHME predicted that the death toll in the U.S. would reach 200,000 by October, which appears to be on track.

[...] IHME previously projected 317,697 deaths by Dec. 1. The model now predicts that the daily death toll could rise to nearly 3,000 per day in December, up from over 800 per day now, according to Hopkins data.

[...] The most likely [IHME] scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.

[...] Despite the drop in new cases, the number of deaths caused by Covid-19 everyday in the U.S. has remained high, at nearly 1,000 new deaths per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.

[The 9/11 terrorist attacks caused 2,977 deaths; the current US COVID-19 fatality rate is like having two 9/11 attacks each week. --Ed.]

Original Submission

 
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  • (Score: -1, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @04:56AM (4 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @04:56AM (#1047104)

    Ahhhh, Zum-Zum weighs in. She is always triggered with any mention of the Great Saint Greta. Does Zum-Zum have the hots for the Viking babe? Wouldn't that be akin to pedophilia?

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @05:58AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday September 06 2020, @05:58AM (#1047115)

    Kinda like how you're triggered by the topic of trans people.

  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by Azuma Hazuki on Sunday September 06 2020, @04:59PM (2 children)

    by Azuma Hazuki (5086) on Sunday September 06 2020, @04:59PM (#1047215) Journal

    I have a permanent philosophical yearning for the truth. Greta is speaking more of the truth than her opponents. She is also uniquely vulnerable to dangerous opposition due to being female and underage. Therefore, she gets a bit more defense from me than she would if she were, for example, in her mid-30s.

    The fact that all you can think of is "hurr hurr Hazuki's defending Greta she must be hot for her" speaks very badly of your position and your arguments, such as they are. You would have done better to stay silent.

    --
    I am "that girl" your mother warned you about...

    • (Score: -1, Troll) by Anonymous Coward on Monday September 07 2020, @01:00AM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Monday September 07 2020, @01:00AM (#1047359)

      If I understand you correctly, "We bitches got to stick together!!"

      • (Score: 2) by Azuma Hazuki on Monday September 07 2020, @03:12AM

        by Azuma Hazuki (5086) on Monday September 07 2020, @03:12AM (#1047401) Journal

        You do not understand me correctly. And I suspect you are physically incapable of doing so.

        --
        I am "that girl" your mother warned you about...