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from the keep-your-distance-and-wear-your-mask dept.
In June, IHME predicted that the death toll in the U.S. would reach 200,000 by October, which appears to be on track.
[...] IHME previously projected 317,697 deaths by Dec. 1. The model now predicts that the daily death toll could rise to nearly 3,000 per day in December, up from over 800 per day now, according to Hopkins data.
[...] The most likely [IHME] scenario estimates that Covid-19 will kill 410,450 people in the U.S. by Jan. 1. The worst-case scenario, which assumes that restrictions and mask directives will ease, projects up to 620,028 people in the U.S. will die by then and the best-case scenario, which assumes universal masking, predicts that 288,380 people in the U.S. will die from Covid-19 in 2020.
[...] Despite the drop in new cases, the number of deaths caused by Covid-19 everyday in the U.S. has remained high, at nearly 1,000 new deaths per day, according to data compiled by Johns Hopkins University.
[The 9/11 terrorist attacks caused 2,977 deaths; the current US COVID-19 fatality rate is like having two 9/11 attacks each week. --Ed.]
(Score: 1) by HammeredGlass on Sunday September 06 2020, @12:52PM (5 children)
Masks are dumb: https://www.cidrap.umn.edu/news-perspective/2020/04/commentary-masks-all-covid-19-not-based-sound-data [umn.edu]
Social distancing is for scaredy cats: https://www.wsj.com/articles/the-case-against-covid-tests-for-the-young-and-healthy-11599151722 [wsj.com]
"Sweden was the only major Western country that kept schools open for kids 15 and younger throughout the pandemic, with no masks or mass testing. How did it turn out? Zero Covid-19 deaths among 1.8 million children attending day care or school. Teachers didn’t have an excess infection risk compared with the average of other professions."
"Israeli schools reopened in May, leading to a few outbreaks. But no child was hospitalized or died. An analysis of cellphone mobility data shows that in the weeks leading up to the school opening, Israel had all but returned to prepandemic activity. The Israeli school outbreak was more likely due to community transmission rather than opening classrooms."
authors of that article--> Dr. Bhattacharya, a physician and economist, is a professor at Stanford Medical School. Mr. Kulldorff, a biostatistician, is a professor at Harvard Medical School.
(Score: 2) by Mykl on Monday September 07 2020, @02:12AM (4 children)
Nice cherry-picking.
(Score: 2) by Grishnakh on Monday September 07 2020, @02:48AM
What's more, Sweden has one of the highest death rates in Europe, worse when considering it doesn't have so many old people like Italy. The US only exceeded Sweden's death rate within the last week.
It's really weird how people like the GP keep harping about the death rates of schoolkids being so low. No shit, sherlock. Everyone knows Covid mortality for young people is very low. Do these idiots think that all these kids are in boarding schools or something, and that they never see older family members?
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday September 07 2020, @05:04AM (2 children)
Yeah, I may have heard of the great Swedish grandparent die-off, they've all gone extinct.
Actually I didn't. About 6000 people overall have died from Covid according to their count. You probably could fit them in a small community park for an idea of scale.
(Score: 2) by Mykl on Monday September 07 2020, @05:44AM
Sweden's death rate is the 8th highest in the world by population [statista.com], yet their population density of 25 people per square kilometre is 198th in the world [wikipedia.org].
For such a low density population to be 8th highest in deaths should tell you just how badly their current strategy is performing.
(Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday September 07 2020, @07:13AM
Your absolute statistics is absolutely awe inspiring - where can I subscribe to your newsletter comrade?