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posted by martyb on Saturday January 23 2021, @08:31AM   Printer-friendly

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419/full

Humanity is causing a rapid loss of biodiversity and, with it, Earth's ability to support complex life. But the mainstream is having difficulty grasping the magnitude of this loss, despite the steady erosion of the fabric of human civilization (Ceballos et al., 2015; IPBES, 2019; Convention on Biological Diversity, 2020; WWF, 2020). While suggested solutions abound (Díaz et al., 2019), the current scale of their implementation does not match the relentless progression of biodiversity loss (Cumming et al., 2006) and other existential threats tied to the continuous expansion of the human enterprise (Rees, 2020). Time delays between ecological deterioration and socio-economic penalties, as with climate disruption for example (IPCC, 2014), impede recognition of the magnitude of the challenge and timely counteraction needed. In addition, disciplinary specialization and insularity encourage unfamiliarity with the complex adaptive systems (Levin, 1999) in which problems and their potential solutions are embedded (Selby, 2006; Brand and Karvonen, 2007). Widespread ignorance of human behavior (Van Bavel et al., 2020) and the incremental nature of socio-political processes that plan and implement solutions further delay effective action (Shanley and López, 2009; King, 2016).

We summarize the state of the natural world in stark form here to help clarify the gravity of the human predicament. We also outline likely future trends in biodiversity decline (Díaz et al., 2019), climate disruption (Ripple et al., 2020), and human consumption and population growth to demonstrate the near certainty that these problems will worsen over the coming decades, with negative impacts for centuries to come. Finally, we discuss the ineffectiveness of current and planned actions that are attempting to address the ominous erosion of Earth's life-support system. Ours is not a call to surrender—we aim to provide leaders with a realistic "cold shower" of the state of the planet that is essential for planning to avoid a ghastly future.

Journal Reference:
Corey J. A. Bradshaw, Paul R. Ehrlich, Andrew Beattie. et al. Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future, Frontiers in Conservation Science [OPEN] (DOI: 10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419)


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  • (Score: 2) by Thexalon on Sunday January 24 2021, @04:17PM (1 child)

    by Thexalon (636) Subscriber Badge on Sunday January 24 2021, @04:17PM (#1104499)

    On the list of Great Human Achievements, I'd put palm oil soap, well, not very high on the list: Humans have had soap for a very very long time, most of it not palm-based, so at best I'd consider that a minor incremental improvement.

    And if you think "Well, it must be great, lots of people are buying it", I'm pretty sure that's because they aren't aware of the costs they aren't paying for, e.g. environmental damage.

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 25 2021, @06:44PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 25 2021, @06:44PM (#1104814)
    And what sort of soap oils and vegetable oils are you using? Are they from crops grown in places where only deserts existed before and not forests?

    Or are they from crops which are growing where there used to be forests before and the forests were cleared but that's fine because white people were doing the clearing and not brown people thousands of miles away?

    And that way you can whitewash it and call it "sustainable"?

    How about before making such a big fuss about palm oil, the UK, Western European countries and the USA replace their oil crops with forests till they have a higher forest percentage than the forest percentage of the palm oil producing countries? Then they won't look as big hypocrites as they already are.

    Go check out the forest percentage of the UK, France, Germany, USA sometime.