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posted by martyb on Saturday January 23 2021, @08:31AM   Printer-friendly

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419/full

Humanity is causing a rapid loss of biodiversity and, with it, Earth's ability to support complex life. But the mainstream is having difficulty grasping the magnitude of this loss, despite the steady erosion of the fabric of human civilization (Ceballos et al., 2015; IPBES, 2019; Convention on Biological Diversity, 2020; WWF, 2020). While suggested solutions abound (Díaz et al., 2019), the current scale of their implementation does not match the relentless progression of biodiversity loss (Cumming et al., 2006) and other existential threats tied to the continuous expansion of the human enterprise (Rees, 2020). Time delays between ecological deterioration and socio-economic penalties, as with climate disruption for example (IPCC, 2014), impede recognition of the magnitude of the challenge and timely counteraction needed. In addition, disciplinary specialization and insularity encourage unfamiliarity with the complex adaptive systems (Levin, 1999) in which problems and their potential solutions are embedded (Selby, 2006; Brand and Karvonen, 2007). Widespread ignorance of human behavior (Van Bavel et al., 2020) and the incremental nature of socio-political processes that plan and implement solutions further delay effective action (Shanley and López, 2009; King, 2016).

We summarize the state of the natural world in stark form here to help clarify the gravity of the human predicament. We also outline likely future trends in biodiversity decline (Díaz et al., 2019), climate disruption (Ripple et al., 2020), and human consumption and population growth to demonstrate the near certainty that these problems will worsen over the coming decades, with negative impacts for centuries to come. Finally, we discuss the ineffectiveness of current and planned actions that are attempting to address the ominous erosion of Earth's life-support system. Ours is not a call to surrender—we aim to provide leaders with a realistic "cold shower" of the state of the planet that is essential for planning to avoid a ghastly future.

Journal Reference:
Corey J. A. Bradshaw, Paul R. Ehrlich, Andrew Beattie. et al. Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future, Frontiers in Conservation Science [OPEN] (DOI: 10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419)


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  • (Score: 3, Insightful) by JoeMerchant on Monday January 25 2021, @04:19PM (1 child)

    by JoeMerchant (3937) on Monday January 25 2021, @04:19PM (#1104750)

    Those elites were living a very middle class lifestyle in Belgium, small apartment, wife and daughter working as nurses. It matters because it's real - weeks of personal contact experience, as opposed to bullshit sociological cooked observations ground up and regurgitated through approved review channels.

    dispossessed researchers, living in their own little bubble, are concerned that we're not buying into some purely imaginary "ghasty future"?

    Me, personally, I care about and relate to those researchers and the personal experience they gather through their travels and work than some dispossessed crank on the internet, living in a bubble in BFE, pontificating about what the rest of the world should be doing and not doing when they rarely experience anything beyond the propaganda traded back and forth in their local valley.

    --
    Україна досі не є частиною Росії Слава Україні🌻 https://news.stanford.edu/2023/02/17/will-russia-ukraine-war-end
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  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Tuesday January 26 2021, @01:51AM

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Tuesday January 26 2021, @01:51AM (#1104961) Journal

    Those elites were living a very middle class lifestyle in Belgium, small apartment, wife and daughter working as nurses. It matters because it's real - weeks of personal contact experience, as opposed to bullshit sociological cooked observations ground up and regurgitated through approved review channels.

    It's a shaggy dog story [wikipedia.org]. And that dog isn't very shaggy!

    Me, personally, I care about and relate to those researchers and the personal experience they gather through their travels and work

    Being wrong for 50 years indicates that experience isn't sticking, assuming they're getting it in the first place.

    Also, why are you continuing to emphasize subjective experiences and feelz over science and knowledge? It's easier for you to just change your experiences and feelz than it is to change actual evidence!

    than some dispossessed crank on the internet, living in a bubble in BFE, pontificating about what the rest of the world should be doing and not doing when they rarely experience anything beyond the propaganda traded back and forth in their local valley.

    I take it you think there's an optics problem somewhere on my end? Show me the evidence! Not some cool fantasy, bro.