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posted by martyb on Saturday January 23 2021, @08:31AM   Printer-friendly

https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419/full

Humanity is causing a rapid loss of biodiversity and, with it, Earth's ability to support complex life. But the mainstream is having difficulty grasping the magnitude of this loss, despite the steady erosion of the fabric of human civilization (Ceballos et al., 2015; IPBES, 2019; Convention on Biological Diversity, 2020; WWF, 2020). While suggested solutions abound (Díaz et al., 2019), the current scale of their implementation does not match the relentless progression of biodiversity loss (Cumming et al., 2006) and other existential threats tied to the continuous expansion of the human enterprise (Rees, 2020). Time delays between ecological deterioration and socio-economic penalties, as with climate disruption for example (IPCC, 2014), impede recognition of the magnitude of the challenge and timely counteraction needed. In addition, disciplinary specialization and insularity encourage unfamiliarity with the complex adaptive systems (Levin, 1999) in which problems and their potential solutions are embedded (Selby, 2006; Brand and Karvonen, 2007). Widespread ignorance of human behavior (Van Bavel et al., 2020) and the incremental nature of socio-political processes that plan and implement solutions further delay effective action (Shanley and López, 2009; King, 2016).

We summarize the state of the natural world in stark form here to help clarify the gravity of the human predicament. We also outline likely future trends in biodiversity decline (Díaz et al., 2019), climate disruption (Ripple et al., 2020), and human consumption and population growth to demonstrate the near certainty that these problems will worsen over the coming decades, with negative impacts for centuries to come. Finally, we discuss the ineffectiveness of current and planned actions that are attempting to address the ominous erosion of Earth's life-support system. Ours is not a call to surrender—we aim to provide leaders with a realistic "cold shower" of the state of the planet that is essential for planning to avoid a ghastly future.

Journal Reference:
Corey J. A. Bradshaw, Paul R. Ehrlich, Andrew Beattie. et al. Underestimating the Challenges of Avoiding a Ghastly Future, Frontiers in Conservation Science [OPEN] (DOI: 10.3389/fcosc.2020.615419)


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  • (Score: 2) by meustrus on Tuesday January 26 2021, @12:40PM

    by meustrus (4961) on Tuesday January 26 2021, @12:40PM (#1105104)

    Earth as a single organism called Gaia is just framing. It's just a thought experiment.

    You would be a fool though to deny that multi-organism groups often act as single entities, seemingly with a single purpose.

    We are all interconnected by the air we breath, the water we drink, the food we eat. It would be foolish to claim each man is an island.

    Rather, try to expand your perspective. Our organs show evidence that they evolved from independent organisms; does the liver know what the whole body does? Does it question its limited universe? Can it perceive its purpose in the larger being? Or does it only consider that it receives a steady stream of nutrients, and it's pleasure in sorting out the garbage?

    Of course, our livers are not sentient beings. They can't know these things.

    We are. The greatest test of our intelligence is whether we are able to see the bigger picture. To perceive the ways in which our individual actions affect the larger system, as the actions of others can affect us. To gaze up at the cosmos and realize, I am not the center of the universe.

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