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posted by martyb on Thursday January 28 2021, @04:57AM   Printer-friendly
from the ups-and-downs dept.

The Complete Moron’s Guide to GameStop’s Stock Roller Coaster

The Complete Moron’s Guide to GameStop’s Stock Roller Coaster:

Last week, an epic short squeeze had driven GameStop stock up to $40 a share, a roughly 1,500 percent increase from its low point nine months ago. Little did anyone know at the time that this would only be the beginning of the story.

As I write this, GameStop's stock price is hovering around $350, up another 775 percent or so since I wrote about this situation eight days ago. By the time you read this, that number may be horribly outdated, as the stock continues to bounce up and down with extreme volatility hour by hour (it dipped down as low as $61 and peaked as high as $159 on Friday).

The current stock price now gives the company a market cap of about $26 billion.

On the surface, that means the market currently thinks GameStop is worth more than twice as much now (during a potentially existential threat to brick and mortar game sales) as it was during the height of the Wii boom in late 2007, when console game downloads were barely a thing.

Also at: Business Insider.

Melvin Capital, Hedge Fund Targeted by Reddit Board, Closes out of GameStop Short Position

Melvin Capital, hedge fund targeted by Reddit board, closes out of GameStop short position:

Melvin Capital closed out its short position in GameStop on Tuesday afternoon after taking a huge loss, the hedge fund's manager told CNBC's Andrew Ross Sorkin.

GameStop, hedge funds' most-hated stock, was targeted by an army of retail investors who marshaled forces against short sellers in online chat rooms. In the Reddit forum "wallstreetbets" with more than 2 million subscribers, rookie investors encouraged each other to pile into GameStop's shares and call options, creating massive short squeezes in the stock.

CNBC could not confirm the amount of losses Melvin Capital took on the short position. Citadel and Point72 have infused close to $3 billion into Gabe Plotkin's hedge fund to shore up its finances. On Wednesday's "Squawk Box," Sorkin said Plotkin told him that speculation about a bankruptcy filing is false.

GameStop shares have soared more than 400% this week alone to $347.51 apiece, driving its January gains to 685%. The stock was worth just $6 four months ago.

Reddit's WallStreetBets is locked as AMC, GameStop stocks fall after-hours

For the past week, Reddit's WallStreetBets community has been the center of an epic war between large Wall Street investors and small scale social media betters. Now, it's been locked, and spooked investors appear to be dumping their shares.

Shares of GameStop and AMC dropped dramatically in after-hours trading shortly after Reddit's community was made only viewable through an invite.

See also: Reddit traders cause Wall Street havoc by buying GameStop
GameStop and Elon Musk send Reddit and Robinhood to the top of the App Store charts
'Dumb Money' Is on GameStop, and It's Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game (archive)


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  • (Score: 2, Funny) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @07:53AM (8 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @07:53AM (#1105947)

    It's a good point. How did we fall so far as a nation that billionaires in yachts can no longer short companies into bankruptcy? Disgusting.

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  • (Score: 5, Insightful) by FatPhil on Thursday January 28 2021, @08:56AM (4 children)

    by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Thursday January 28 2021, @08:56AM (#1105976) Homepage
    Revisionist history.

    GameStop was already slated as being moribund long before Melvin moved in: https://www.fool.com/investing/2020/02/22/is-gamestop-headed-for-bankruptcy.aspx

    The bears moved in *because* of its downward trajectory, not causing its downward trajectory. (However, it does become a self-fulfilling prophecy eventually.)
    --
    Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
    • (Score: 1, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @09:05AM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @09:05AM (#1105981)

      > The bears moved in *because* of its downward trajectory, not causing its downward trajectory. (However, it does become a self-fulfilling prophecy eventually.)

      In the reddit/GME instance, it appears that most of the short sellers moved in when they smelled blood after the first spike in price caused by reddit folks.

      • (Score: 2) by FatPhil on Friday January 29 2021, @08:14AM

        by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Friday January 29 2021, @08:14AM (#1106519) Homepage
        +1 Interesting. If so, then this is a clear example of divers strategies competing against known opponents, which is all fine by me, as I love Game Theory, and have no skin in the game. In fact, the arrival of a new radically different, almost suicidal, strategy into the field of play is quite an exciting one to someone not just into game theory, but evolutionary biology too - this is like a land bridge being formed to an island that was cut off millions of years ago - a new population has arrived, they kinda look like us, but their behaviour is very different. The fact that the Fed is the unwitting backer to this strategy, making it not suicidal at all, adds to the hilarity. When does stimmy #3 arrive - I'm wondering how much popcorn to bulk order?

        Stimmy stimmy stimme a check after midnight
        Won't somebody fund me chase the shorters away?
        --
        Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
    • (Score: 2) by ElizabethGreene on Friday January 29 2021, @03:08AM (1 child)

      by ElizabethGreene (6748) Subscriber Badge on Friday January 29 2021, @03:08AM (#1106441) Journal

      If you go spelunking in the ancient DD in /r/wallstreetbets about $GME you'll find an old and compelling argument by /u/deepfuckingvalue that the new CEO was maneuvering to arm-twist or oust some of the recalcitrant board members to change the company's stores into experience centers and drive significant value from the brand. My experiences with the stores led me to ignore it at the time. I'm curious to see if he'll manage to do it. The PR from this squeeze certainly couldn't hurt.

      • (Score: 2) by FatPhil on Friday January 29 2021, @08:03AM

        by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {asdf.fi}> on Friday January 29 2021, @08:03AM (#1106517) Homepage
        Reddit serves me only the top 3 comments in each thread, so spelunking a site I never read is a near impossibility - thank you for picking out at least a few bones. Not being in the US, GME wasn't of particular interest me in the late teenies, but it did appear by name in the news aggregators, more so in the twenties. So I only got an approximation to the real story, and no "hot takes". However, the view from a thousand miles was "it's dead, just let it die". The only naysayers seemed to be people who'd not looked at the fundamentals, and were driven by emotion not facts. It's certainly possible for the momentum of a brand to be a driving force behind a reinvention of the company, and as you say, momentum is now high. Time to enter the "bargaining" phase...
        --
        Great minds discuss ideas; average minds discuss events; small minds discuss people; the smallest discuss themselves
  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @08:59AM (2 children)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @08:59AM (#1105978)

    Shorting stock doesn't cause a company to go into bankruptcy.

    Furthermore, market capitalization doesn't really reflect a company's financial condition.

    • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @03:41PM (1 child)

      by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @03:41PM (#1106106)

      If its share price goes to zero it does.

      • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @04:10PM

        by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 28 2021, @04:10PM (#1106129)

        No. Only being unable to meet corporate liabilities, or the expectation of such, will trigger bankruptcy.