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from the with-a-capital-T-which-rhymes-with-D-and-that-stands-for-Drones dept.
Gartner’s crystal ball foresee an emerging ‘super class’ of technologies.
Gartner sees things like robots and drones replacing a third of all workers by 2025, and whether you want to believe it or not, is entirely your business. This is Gartner being provocative, as it is typically is, at the start of its major U.S. conference, the Symposium/ITxpo.
Smart machines are an emerging "super class" of technologies that perform a wide variety of work, both the physical and the intellectual kind, said Sondergaard. Machines, for instance, have been grading multiple choice for years, but now they are grading essays and unstructured text. This cognitive capability in software will extend to other areas, including financial analysis, medical diagnostics and data analytic jobs of all sorts, says Gartner.
http://www.computerworld.com/article/2691607/one-in-three-jobs-will-be-taken-by-software-or-robots-by-2025.html
What do you think of Gartner's predictions ? What will happen to all the phone sanitizers?
(Score: 2) by MostCynical on Tuesday October 07 2014, @01:06AM
Will they use "reports" like this to justify mass layoffs?
Will they justify expensive new-tech ("ooh, shiny thing!")?
Will people still need to write stuff down to make business function?
Will managers still need people to manage (even out-sourced, off-shore, tele-presence staff)?
We aren't going to be replaced with robots. We are going to find most workers reduced to serf-like jobs - which will include monitoring all the new robots.
"I guess once you start doubting, there's no end to it." -Batou, Ghost in the Shell: Stand Alone Complex
(Score: 2) by Thexalon on Tuesday October 07 2014, @03:41PM
The thing is, if you think about it, there's a clear problem. If you fire 1/3 of the current workforce, then you had better do something ensure that those now idle people have enough income to continue buying your products, or any company making consumer goods has just seen their revenue drop dramatically. Even rich people will be adversely affected.
That means you really have to do one of 2 things, neither of which the Powers That Be show any inclination to do:
1. Some sort of income redistribution plan, so that your millions of now unemployed people have enough to survive and continue to buy stuff.
2. A shift to a 25 hour work week, with a corresponding wage increase that maintains the income level that existed with a 40 hour work week.
If you don't do either of those, then eventually the mob of millions of unemployed and hungry people will do something to acquire all the stuff that's now sitting around warehouses not being sold.
The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.