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Journal by khallow
Once again, I see several stories where people voice concern about the direction society heads in, labor-wise, and then propose solutions to make it worse. For example:

[Mykl:] This is actually the exact problem in the US at the moment. Money is trickling to the top and not making its way back down. Those at the top are hoarding it, thus keeping it out of, and slowing, the economy. This in turns damages the businesses that they own, because their customers can't afford to spend money that they don't have.

The problem would be largely solved by handing out a bunch of cash to employees, who will use it to go out and spend, stimulating the economy and generating demand (thus improving the outlook of business). It would actually be a win-win, but the cash hoarders can't see beyond having the biggest number in the bank they can (which they'll never spend).

The big thing missed is that due to inflation, hoarding money means losing money. Rather than wonder why businesses aren't hiring people or building up capital right now, Mykl merely suggests that the business give away that money to create a little short term economic activity and something that will be better than the present state of affairs while ignoring that the business has just thrown away its cheapest means to expand and employ more people. Later on in the same thread, we have this gem:

[deimtee:] I think this is actually becoming one of the major problems, especially on the small end of the investment scale. At some point, the economy is producing enough to feed, house, and entertain everyone without requiring anywhere near enough human work to keep everyone employed.

Investing in a new business requires identifying an under-filled need in order to attract customers. It is getting to the point where starting a new business means competing with a giant company, it is just not viable unless you can come up with something that is both truly new and valuable. Not many people can do that, and every time one does there is one less opportunity left. At the same time, big companies are streamlining and using automation and economies of scale to reduce the number of employees.

The solution, of course, was to shrink the labor market, not fix the problems described above.

[khallow:] Deliberately shrinking the labor market won't identify under-filled needs nor create more small and medium sized businesses.

[deimtee:] The labour market is currently over-supplied. This is evidenced by the difficulty young people have in entering it. Raising the retirement age is like eating your seedcorn. By the time those geriatrics are finally knocked off by COVID 2040 or something society is going to hit a wall where no-one knows how to do the jobs. 30 year-olds on unemployment for 10 years are not ideal trainees and no trainers will be around anyway. Early retirement forces the companies to train the next generation now.

Yes we should be massively investing in life-extension, medical research, space, all that stuff. Now what percentage of people do you think can realistically contribute to that sort of endeavor? I would say less than 1% of people have the capability to undertake research at that level.

Notice the insistence on shrinking the labor market even when presented with clear evidence that we need that labor for hard, open-ended problems and to preserve institutional knowledge. In the recent story, Kill the 5-Day Workweek (which was about some business that does 4 day workweeks), we see more examples of this dysfunctional reasoning in action. There's anecdotes about bad bosses, insistence that economies is less rigorous than physics, and lots of fantasizing about all the amazing things you'd do, if your employer was forced to give you one more day off. Let's start with the "bullshit jobs":

[Thexalon:] Counterpoint: A lot of jobs are completely useless and exist for basically bullshit reasons. If you've ever worked in a larger corporation or non-profit, you will have no difficulty identifying a bunch of Wallys or Peter Gibbonses walking around who are accomplishing absolutely nothing but vaguely looking like they might be working. And no, that's not limited to government, because despite what a lot of libertarians seem to think private corporations are not even close to perfect models of efficiency.

To summarize the above link, some clueless idiot doesn't understand a variety of jobs. So those jobs must not have a reason for being and are thus "bullshit jobs". Notice that once the author has failed to understand the purpose of these jobs, he then has to come up with a conspiracy theory for why they exist.

[author David Graeber:] The answer clearly isn't economic: it's moral and political. The ruling class has figured out that a happy and productive population with free time on their hands is a mortal danger (think of what started to happen when this even began to be approximated in the '60s). And, on the other hand, the feeling that work is a moral value in itself, and that anyone not willing to submit themselves to some kind of intense work discipline for most of their waking hours deserves nothing, is extraordinarily convenient for them.

Who here really thinks that Joe Billionaire is going to burn money on that?

Then there's the fantasizing about how shortening the workweek and the amount of work per job won't have any impact on competition from other countries.

[AC1:] A lot of Asian companies still work on Saturday (6 day week ). If going to a 4 day workweek in any way hurts productivity these Asian firms will have an advantage

[AC2:] Ridiculous, and already proven wrong since they are open an extra day already and haven't taken all the business.

"Proven wrong" because those Asian companies haven't eaten entirely our lunch. We still have some left. Funny how half a century of off-shoring can be ignored.

Moving on, it wouldn't be complete without a contribution from the peanut gallery. fustakrakich continues his bid to destroy Western civilization:

[fustakrakich:] Also demand a six hour work day. Make each day a little less tiresome

Here's my take on all this. It's basically a supply and demand problem in the developed world. Due to labor competition from the developing world, developed world labor has lost much of its pricing power. For some reason, most of the above posters think we can get back to higher labor prices by reducing the supply of labor. What's missing from that is that the developing world is still increasing its supply of labor (more from building out trade/transportation infrastructure to populations than from birth rate). Those moves won't actually reduce labor supply as a result.

Instead, let's increase the demand for labor. Rather than rhetorically ruling out the creation of new businesses and such, how about we enable those things to happen. Because plenty of new businesses still happen - indicating the narrative is faulty.

But that would mean acknowledging that protecting labor is less important than nurturing business growth and creation. Who will do that?

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The Fine Print: The following comments are owned by whoever posted them. We are not responsible for them in any way.
  • (Score: 2) by Mykl on Tuesday July 27 2021, @10:24PM (3 children)

    by Mykl (1112) on Tuesday July 27 2021, @10:24PM (#1160488)

    Your link is a reference to global wages, and indeed there are parts of the globe that are much better off than they were in 1988 (interesting that the chart stops just prior to the GFC though...)

    However, the situation for the US worker is pretty dire. The increases in the 10th to 70th percent (developing world) came at the cost of the 80th to 95th percent (first world factory and office workers).

    Let's look at a an analysis of the US numbers. Real Wage Growth [fas.org] in the past 40 years has barely moved for the 50th percentile in the US, and in fact dropped for men. Figure S in this link [epi.org] shows that wages in the bottom 50% of college graduates are actually lower than they were 20 years ago. The rest of the article shows just how much income inequality has grown in the US (more than pretty much anywhere else).

    Globally, people are becoming better off. In the US, most people are getting poorer and have been doing so for some time.

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  • (Score: 0, Flamebait) by khallow on Wednesday July 28 2021, @03:24AM (2 children)

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday July 28 2021, @03:24AM (#1160549) Journal
    Well, here's [heritage.org] another link.

    President John F. Kennedy believed that “a rising tide lifts all boats,” but many question if that remains true today. They point to data showing that productivity has risen sharply since the 1970s while wages have stagnated. They conclude that productivity-driven economic growth does not necessarily benefit American workers.

    These claims rest on misinterpreted economic statistics. They juxtapose productivity and pay[1] data that cannot be directly compared, leading to inaccurate conclusions. The claim that pay has lagged far behind productivity growth:

    • Examines wage growth instead of total compensation, which includes rapidly growing benefits;
    • Uses different price indexes to adjust pay and productivity for inflation;
    • Omits the effect of faster depreciation, which reduces net income but not gross productivity; and
    • Ignores known measurement errors in Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) productivity calculations.

    The text preceding the graph "Total compensation rises with productivity":

    Federal economic statistics confirm this prediction: Employee compensation has largely grown in tandem with labor productivity over the past two generations. Productivity rose 100 percent between 1973 and 2012, while hourly employee compensation rose almost as much—77 percent. As discussed below, measurement problems that inflate reported productivity account for most of the remaining difference. Workers have shared in the gains from higher productivity.

    There's something wrong with the narrative.

    • (Score: 2) by Mykl on Wednesday July 28 2021, @05:24AM (1 child)

      by Mykl (1112) on Wednesday July 28 2021, @05:24AM (#1160579)

      Your "Total compensation rises with productivity" includes the money that the 0.1% are giving to themselves. Per income inequality discussions earlier (and my second link) the amount going to the workers has stayed flat or gone down despite productivity increases. CEO pay, however, has skyrocketed.

      • (Score: 0, Troll) by khallow on Wednesday July 28 2021, @11:54AM

        by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Wednesday July 28 2021, @11:54AM (#1160613) Journal
        Your statistic doesn't count total benefits, mine does. Things like employer health insurance will make up a larger portion of workers' compensation than they would CEOs' compensation.