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posted by janrinok on Thursday July 01 2021, @11:18AM   Printer-friendly
from the good-science-is-boring dept.

Social science papers that failed to replicate racked up 153 more citations, on average, than papers that replicated successfully.

This latest result is "pretty damning," says University of Maryland, College Park, cognitive scientist Michael Dougherty, who was not involved with the research. "Citation counts have long been treated as a proxy for research quality," he says, so the finding that less reliable research is cited more points to a "fundamental problem" with how such work is evaluated.

[...] University of California, San Diego, economists Marta Serra-Garcia and Uri Gneezy were interested in whether catchy research ideas would get more attention than mundane ones, even if they were less likely to be true. So they gathered data on 80 papers from three different projects that had tried to replicate important social science findings, with varying levels of success.

Citation counts on Google Scholar were significantly higher for the papers that failed to replicate, they report today in Science Advances, with an average boost of 16 extra citations per year. That's a big number, Serra-Garcia and Gneezy say—papers in high-impact journals in the same time period amassed a total of about 40 citations per year on average.

And when the researchers examined citations in papers published after the landmark replication projects, they found that the papers rarely acknowledged the failure to replicate, mentioning it only 12% of the time.

Well, nobody likes a Debbie Downer, do they?

Journal Reference:
Marta Serra-Garcia, Uri Gneezy. Nonreplicable publications are cited more than replicable ones [open], Science Advances (DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.abd1705)


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  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by Thexalon on Thursday July 01 2021, @05:28PM

    by Thexalon (636) Subscriber Badge on Thursday July 01 2021, @05:28PM (#1151883)

    Among other things: "Here's a Detailed Explanation of Why Popular Study X is Wrong" will invariably cite the study that they're presenting an argument attempting to debunk it. So that means that well-hyped-and-wrong research beats obscure-and-right research on citation counts every time. If you're looking for a lot citations, forget trying to get that acceptance at a prominent conference or publication in Nature, what you really want is your study being sensational enough or financially backed enough that it shows up on CNN.

    And if you think that leads to bunk research, you're absolutely right.

    --
    The only thing that stops a bad guy with a compiler is a good guy with a compiler.
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