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posted by janrinok on Thursday January 13 2022, @04:32AM   Printer-friendly
from the I-hope-it's-only-the-legs-half dept.

Omicron May Infect Half of Europeans Within Weeks, WHO Says:

More than half of Europe's population could become infected with omicron within weeks at current transmission speeds, a World Health Organization official said.

The fast-spreading variant represents a "west-to-east tsunami sweeping the region," Hans Kluge, WHO regional director for Europe, said in a briefing Tuesday.

He cited the Institute for Metrics and Health Assessment forecast that most Europeans could take it within the next six to eight weeks. The latest Covid surge has resulted in fewer symptomatic cases and lower death rates than in previous waves, fueling optimism that the pandemic may subside.

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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 14 2022, @12:36AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Friday January 14 2022, @12:36AM (#1212553)

    Your post for starters which acknowledges that lack of data.

    Then the burden of proof is on you. When my abusive uncle shows up drunk and swears this time it'll be different, today he drank beer not whiskey, the situation is too similar to a known danger.

    My take is

    Your hot take is not worth the time it took to read. Statistics or bust. Evidence or bust.

    for a study that ends in February 2021!

    ...right. Peer review takes a while. This is our best data. We have no reason to believe Omicron leads to less Long COVID.

    Do you get it?

    We have no reason to believe Omicron leads to less Long COVID.

    We have no reason to believe Omicron leads to less Long COVID.

    The burden of proof is on YOU to demonstrate that Omicron is less dangerous somehow, if you want to shift our well-based priors.

    Let's see those studies then (peculiar that you're saying these studies exist when you were claiming "no data" earlier).

    If you don't understand the difference between "we have no data indicating it's weaker" and "we have data indicating Long COVID is common", and why the two can simultaneously be true, then I don't want to try and talk with you, because anyone who claims 2+3=4 in the integer number system, can prove anything they want, and disprove anything they want.

    If you bother to search, look at Nehme in AIM, Groff in JAMA, the USA's VA/mil numbers, etc etc etc. There's lots of strong results. They only meaningfully disagree in their definition of PASC.