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Analysts estimate SSD prices will drop 50 percent by mid-2023:
As SSD and NAND prices gradually decline, analysts now believe the price drops have no end in sight. The latest projections show that next year, consumers may be able to add 2TB worth of SSD storage to their PC for less than $100.
It's safe to say that one of the best inventions for PC components was the creation of NAND flash and the subsequent M.2 SSDs. The ability to store upwards of multiple terabytes of data on a storage device nearly the same size as a stick of gum is fantastic.Unfortunately, M.2 drives with those high amounts of data have been unfathomable for most consumers for a while.
Recently, SSDs have seen significant price cuts and capacity increases. Just six years ago, a 1 TB NVMe drive from Samsung cost nearly $500. Now, the same SSDs go for $90. That's an 80-percent price cut. Analysts believe this steady price decline will continue. Estimations indicate current SSD costs could be cut in half by the middle of 2023. If projections prove correct, 1 TB M.2 SSDs could retail for around $50, 2 TB SSDs might reach sub-$100 prices, and the 4 TB drives approaching the $200 mark might put them within reach of budget-minded customers.
(Score: 2) by takyon on Thursday October 13 2022, @09:48PM (1 child)
See my screed above.
SSD write endurance is getting worse, not better. QLC drops write endurance but probably not as much was once thought (here's a TLC [anandtech.com] and QLC [anandtech.com] with same rated TBW for the 1 TB model), and PLC is being talked about but it seems like no manufacturer is willing to go for it in the near future. Oh, there is a prototype:
https://www.tomshardware.com/news/solidigm-plc-nand-ssd [tomshardware.com]
Consumer SSD lifespan is helped by the fact that most people aren't writing hundreds of gigabytes per day, so even with atrocious write endurance, the limits are not being reached. Increasing the capacity also helps counteract usage. You could fill your 4 TB SSD with games on day 1, but when are you going to reach 1600 TB written? Not anytime soon, probably.
SSD warranties are still 3-5 years. I'm not sure they would be increased for consumers even if the technology was magically lasting 10x longer. I think enterprise warranties are still around 5 years too.
HDDs are still the only game in town if you want to store large amounts of video. Most pirates aren't bothering with storing what they watch anymore [torrentfreak.com]. If you record video yourself, you could fill up the largest drives very quickly.
If you are a data hoarder, video or otherwise, you are going to be using HDDs. Maybe with multiple identical backups.
[SIG] 10/28/2017: Soylent Upgrade v14 [soylentnews.org]
(Score: 2) by RedGreen on Friday October 14 2022, @02:30AM
"HDDs are still the only game in town if you want to store large amounts of video. Most pirates aren't bothering with storing what they watch anymore [torrentfreak.com]. If you record video yourself, you could fill up the largest drives very quickly.
If you are a data hoarder, video or otherwise, you are going to be using HDDs. Maybe with multiple identical backups."
If you use them crazy high bit rates I suppose they fill up quickly. I am happy enough with relatively low settings I use it looks perfectly fine on my 1080 screen that I am in no hurry to upgrade. That gives me many many files on the HDDs I have in four machines loaded up with drives a main master and three backups of that machine rsynced to them. I upgrade my machine every couple of years the old one gets tasked as a new backup which I fill up with new drives. The system works fairly well the machines and the drives get powered on every week for additions of new files from the series I get during the year and any new additions I download. Very few of the drives fail the oldest date back to around 2014, the newest were all bought last Christmas when my machine got upgraded and I gained my fourth backup machine. I have been waiting for years for someone to come out with a nice high capacity SSD at a low price as I am cheap SOB. They do not have to have many write cycles as my use case is generally write the files I am going to keep to the drives the one time. If an optical storage system that would actually work were available it would be perfect for me, but they are all garbage whose data never survives restoring after any period of time. I lost many files relying on that trash back then that is when I decided on the HDD solution that has not failed me once. I say bring on the cheap SSDs I will take the chance on them.
"I modded down, down, down, and the flames went higher." -- Sven Olsen