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posted by janrinok on Monday May 15, @05:32PM   Printer-friendly

Fact: Earth's colossal ice sheets are melting:

Pay attention to Greenland.

The land's colossal ice sheet — around three times the size of Texas — is melting some 270 billion tons(opens in a new tab) of ice into the sea each year as Earth warms. And the inevitable sea level rise could be worse than scientists calculated: Researchers at NASA and the University of California, Irvine (UCI) found that warmer ocean water is seeping underneath and amplifying melting of Greenland's mighty Petermann Glacier, which ends in a great ice tongue floating over the sea. The scientists recently published their research in the journal Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences.

The glacier lies in northern Greenland, a realm of the high Arctic. But that frigid location can no longer protect it. Scientists found the glacier is vulnerable to the incessantly warming seas. It's another whammy for melting Greenland, which is melting from above (warmer air) and below (warmer water).

Until 2015, satellite observations showed Petermann, a major ice outflow on Greenland, was in solid shape. Not anymore.

"Something changed during the last decade. Petermann was supposed to be a place where the ice was still stable," Enrico Ciraci, a NASA postdoctoral fellow and an Earth system scientist at UCI, told Mashable.

Ice loss is now ramping up.

"Warming oceans are accelerating the mass loss of this glacier," Ciraci, who led the research, said.

Not even the coldest glaciers are immune.

"It's surprising even Petermann isn't escaping the impacts of global warming," Josh Willis, a NASA oceanographer who researches melting in Greenland and had no involvement with the new research, told Mashable.

[...] For some of us, sea level rise might not be nearly as apparent or poignant as the increase in inferno-like Western wildfires, record-breaking heat waves, vanishing Arctic ice, and historic deluges. But it's happening, and it's speeding up.

Since the late 19th century, global sea levels have already risen by some eight to nine inches. Sea level rise each year more than doubled from 1.4 millimeters over most of the 20th century, to 3.6 millimeters by the early 21st century. From just the years 2013 to 2018, that number accelerated to 4.8 millimeters per year.

Yet, crucially, most sea level rise simulations and predictions don't take into account what's happening under Petermann and the many glaciers like it. This means we might be underestimating sea level rise over the coming decades and beyond. In the study, the researchers noted that such ocean melting "will make projections of sea level rise from glaciers potentially double."

"This process is not accounted for in many models today for sea level rise," Ciraci explained. "The potential contribution is significant."

Journal Reference:
Enrico Ciracì, Eric Rignot, Bernd Scheuchl, et al., Melt rates in the kilometer-size grounding zone of Petermann Glacier, Greenland, before and during a retreat [open], PNAS, 2023 120 (20) e2220924120. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2220924120


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  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by JoeMerchant on Monday May 15, @08:03PM (1 child)

    by JoeMerchant (3937) on Monday May 15, @08:03PM (#1306447)

    We live in a universe of infinite possibilities.

    The primary problem is industrial output per capita multiplied by the population.

    Both are still increasing around most of the world, rather rapidly as compared with 150+ years ago.

    We could solve this (extend the Holocene environment) with a massive deployment of Neutron bombs. We could solve this with a (real, not dress rehearsal) pandemic. We could suddenly enlighten the populations of the world via LSD in the water supplies and everybody could just stop flying everywhere on jets, driving everywhere in cars, and maybe even get happy with less air-conditioning in their homes and businesses. I think the pipe dream of "economically advanced nations reverse population growth" is a very tenuous point of human behavior which won't work if the "economically advanced" masses ever stop working their asses off 40+ hours per week for the first 60 years of their lives.

    >we can't let something as petty as fairness stop us from saving the world.

    People I know mostly can't wrap their heads around "fair" in the local area, "Global" fairness is about as possible for them to embrace as giving up their SUV to take the bus instead.

    >growing katamari that belongs to the bankers.

    Bankers are one tiny aspect of the larger problem, people are going to grab what they can, whether that's a starving family on the border of a wildlife preserve poaching the endangered animals for dinner, politicians climbing from local to national levels by selling their souls to the highest bidders, or coked up bankers reaching for their next million per month income stream by whatever means are legally available to them (definition of legal to include: not getting caught.)

    People are people, they're unlikely to change much in the coming decades. We were given the gifts of cheap energy in the forms of coal, then oil, and we just acted like people when given those gifts. The main thing we, as a species, did was go forth and multiply like never before. That's the root of our collective current misery, 8 billion copies, and population really has been the root of misery at all times of limited resources throughout modern history. We have dominion over all the plants, and animals [science.org] - except ourselves.

    When we learn how to reduce the human population, by whatever methods, managing the environment will be easy by comparison.

    --
    Україна досі не є частиною Росії Слава Україні🌻 https://news.stanford.edu/2023/02/17/will-russia-ukraine-war-end
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  • (Score: 2) by cmdrklarg on Monday May 15, @09:48PM

    by cmdrklarg (5048) Subscriber Badge on Monday May 15, @09:48PM (#1306462)

    When we learn how to reduce the human population, by whatever methods, managing the environment will be easy by comparison.

    Nah, we don't need to do anything. The deterioration of the environment will take care of the problem, although not in a pleasant way for a large number of the population.

    --
    Answer now is don't give in; aim for a new tomorrow.