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posted by hubie on Saturday March 02 2024, @05:01AM   Printer-friendly

Evolution has produced a wondrously diverse variety of lifeforms here on Earth. It just so happens that talking primates with opposable thumbs rose to the top and are building a spacefaring civilization. And we're land-dwellers. But what about other planets? If the dominant species on an ocean world builds a technological civilization of some sort, would they be able to escape their ocean home and explore space?

A new article in the Journal of the British Interplanetary Society examines the idea of civilizations on other worlds and the factors that govern their ability to explore their solar systems. Its title is "Introducing the Exoplanet Escape Factor and the Fishbowl Worlds (Two conceptual tools for the search of extra-terrestrial civilizations)." The sole author is Elio Quiroga, a professor at the Universidad del Atlántico Medio in Spain.

We have no way of knowing if other Extraterrestrial Intelligences (ETIs) exist or not. There's at least some possibility that other civilizations exist, and we're certainly in no position to say for sure that they don't. The Drake Equation is one of the tools we use to talk about the existence of ETIs. It's a kind of structured thought experiment in the form of an equation that allows us to estimate the existence of other active, communicative ETIs. Some of the variables in the Drake Equation (DE) are the star formation rate, the number of planets around those stars, and the fraction of planets that could form life and on which life could evolve to become an ETI.

In his new research article, Quiroga comes up with two new concepts that feed into the DE: the Exoplanet Escape Factor and Fishbowl worlds.

[...] Quiroga's Exoplanet Escape Factor (Fex) can help us imagine what kinds of worlds could host ETIs. It can help us anticipate the factors that prevent or at least inhibit space travel, and it brings more complexity into the Drake Equation. It leads us to the idea of Fishbowl Worlds, inescapable planets that could keep a civilization planet-bound forever.

Without the ability to ever escape their planet and explore their solar systems, and without the ability to communicate beyond their worlds, could entire civilizations rise and fall without ever knowing the Universe they were a part of? Could it happen right under our noses, so to speak, and we'd never know ?

[Source]: Universe Today

[Also Covered By]: Phys.Org

An interesting conjecture worth pondering about !!


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  • (Score: 2) by Reziac on Wednesday March 13 2024, @04:45PM (1 child)

    by Reziac (2489) on Wednesday March 13 2024, @04:45PM (#1348584) Homepage

    "As I understand it, the limited capacity of the residency program is their excuse for why they consistently under-supply our market with M.D.s"

    To my understanding, it's because the AMA will only certify something like 470 new MDs per year.

    Which doesn't begin to keep up with demand.

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  • (Score: 2) by JoeMerchant on Wednesday March 13 2024, @06:14PM

    by JoeMerchant (3937) on Wednesday March 13 2024, @06:14PM (#1348604)

    >the AMA will only certify something like 470 new MDs per year.

    That's astonishingly low, but:

    What percentage of MDs belong to the AMA? 15-18% In fact, it is estimated that only 15-18% of doctors in the US are paying members of the AMA. In one study conducted by Jackson and Coker, only 11% of physicians who responded believe the AMA stand for the views of doctors.

    In 2022, the number of people who graduated from medical schools across the United States amounted to 28,753 graduates.

    Not all of those 28,753 go on to complete a residency, get licensed, get malpractice insurance, and actually practice... more meaningless stats from the internet at large:

    About 65–93% of medical school students become doctors.

    The average length of a physician's career is between 31 and 36 years

    that puts us at somewhat more than 339996563/33.5*.93*28753 = 380 residents per doctor on an ongoing basis (not accounting for M.D. em/immigration, which at present puts about a 10% boost on the number of physicians, or about 340 residents per doctor).

    Random point of contrast:

    In 2022, 421,300 doctors were employed in Germany

    for a ratio of about 200 residents per doctor.

    Do you feel served? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/To_Serve_Man_(The_Twilight_Zone) [wikipedia.org]

    83200000/421300 =

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