| Title | Viral Outbreaks Could be Predicted Two Years in Advance by Mathematical Model | |
| Date | Sunday August 26 2018, @05:15AM | |
| Author | mrpg | |
| Topic | ||
| from the what-about-data-on-suicides dept. | ||
Submitted via IRC for SoyCow1984
[...] The team used a mathematical model to simulate these epidemic patterns for each of the 20 most common types of enterovirus.
To build the model, they used Japanese enterovirus surveillance data. Japan keeps incredibly detailed information on enterovirus outbreaks, and the team used 14 years' worth of information to build the model (from 2000-2014).
They then tested the model, and found that it was able to predict subsequent outbreaks in 2015 and 2016 for most types of enterovirus.
Source: https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2018/08/180824090618.htm
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