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SpaceX Lost Money on the Latest Falcon 9 Launch

Accepted submission by takyon at 2017-08-24 23:31:09
Techonomics

The SpaceX launch of Taiwan's Formosat-5 satellite was delayed by years following a switch from the Falcon 1e rocket and the two Falcon 9 explosions in 2015 and 2016. SpaceX launched the satellite successfully and recovered the first stage booster [space.com] on a drone ship, but the company won't make any profit on the launch [wired.com]:

The Formosat-5 is Taiwan's first satellite designed and built entirely with the nation's resources. More than 50 teams from across the country built it to facilitate academic research, disaster prevention, and humanitarian assistance. Originally, the sat was supposed to fly on SpaceX's Falcon 1e, an upgraded version of its first orbital-class Falcon 1 rocket with a lift capability of 2,200 pounds. And according to industry analysis site Space Intel Report, they paid $23 million for the privilege—compared to the typical $62 million for a commercial Falcon 9 launch today.

[...] Despite the delays, Taiwan didn't opt for another rocket provider like Orbital ATK, which operates the Minotaur rocket for missions to low-Earth orbit at a cost of around $30 million. Instead, SpaceX will pay 1.25 percent of the launch costs back to them for every month that Formosat-5 is delayed, according to the mission's contract.

So how much is SpaceX going to lose on this mission? If you remove the potential reusability of the Falcon 9 booster for a moment, a lot. According to a launch cost analysis by investment firm Jefferies International, SpaceX usually makes a 40 percent profit from $62 million commercial Falcon 9 launches with new boosters. That puts $25 million in the bank and $37 million toward direct launch costs. With Taiwan's severely reduced fare of $23 million, SpaceX is not only foregoing its profit but will be out-of-pocket for the remaining $14 million.

[Please check to see if the fairing [wikipedia.org] was recovered.]

Also at NASASpaceFlight [nasaspaceflight.com].


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