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posted by cmn32480 on Sunday May 01 2016, @02:34AM   Printer-friendly
from the can't-we-all-just-get-along dept.

Business news summarized a MarketWatch article thusly: "One reason growth is not faster is because technology is helping customers more than companies." As a technocrat, I thought that was the whole idea.

"Two roads diverged," Robert Frost wrote in what is perhaps the most popular poem of all time, "The Road Not Taken." Frost's opening words keep playing in my head every time an economic indicator is released, a global macro forecast is revised, or financial markets take a tumble. In all cases, the bulls and the bears find enough ammunition to support their diametrically opposed views on the U.S. economy.

Rarely have two roads diverged so dramatically for so long. It took six years for mainstream economists to come around to the notion that no, this is not your grandfather's economy; and no, real economic growth isn't going to accelerate to 3% next year, the perennial forecast. Trend economic growth of 3% or 4% is a thing of the past, constrained as it is right now by anemic productivity and labor-force growth.

Even the 2.1% average growth [in] real gross domestic product since the Great Recession ended in June 2009 is a source of controversy. The economic bulls maintain that the price of information technology is being overstated, which means real GDP and productivity growth are being understated. For this group, the low level of both jobless claims and the unemployment rate is telling the true story of a robust economy that isn't being captured by the statisticians.

http://on.mktw.net/23NzdKB


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  • (Score: 1, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Sunday May 01 2016, @05:09AM

    by Anonymous Coward on Sunday May 01 2016, @05:09AM (#339688)

    The Great Recession ended in 2009 and gave way to the Great Compression, in which people alternately discouraged by or just plain disgusted with the Great Recession decided to refrain from any economic activity until 2017 when the Obama Era will end. I propose we call such holdouts 17ers.

    I expect to see a lot of long-term abandoned businesses spring right back to life in the spring of 17. Because the failed Obamanation will not last forever. His days are numbered by law, and then he's out of there.

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