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  • (Score: 2) by takyon on Sunday September 16 2018, @07:05PM (3 children)

    by takyon (881) <reversethis-{gro ... s} {ta} {noykat}> on Sunday September 16 2018, @07:05PM (#735717) Journal

    All taken from here []. Conveniently, there were 8 suggestions, and a maximum of 8 options for a poll.

    Snow Crash by Neal Stephenson []

    We Are Legion (We Are Bob) (Bobiverse Book 1) by Dennis Taylor []

    Dawn (Xenogenesis #1 or Lilith's Brood #1) by Octavia Butler []

    The Metropolitan Man by Alexander Wales []

    (Freely available.)

    Thinking, Fast and Slow by Daniel Kahneman,_Fast_and_Slow []

    Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction by Philip E. Tetlock and Dan Gardner []

    (This is about the Good Judgment Project [].)

    Makers by Cory Doctorow []

    (Free to download.)

    Rip Foster in Ride the Gray Planet by Harold L. Goodwin []

    (Public domain.)

    [SIG] 10/28/2017: Soylent Upgrade v14 []
    Starting Score:    1  point
    Karma-Bonus Modifier   +1  

    Total Score:   2  
  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Monday September 17 2018, @12:30AM (1 child)

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Monday September 17 2018, @12:30AM (#735787) Journal
    I voted for Superforecasting because they're trying to be serious and because I'm interested in the future and prognostication. If it's garbage, it'll still be fun to pick apart. But maybe someone who has read the book might be able to say more about it?
    • (Score: 2) by takyon on Monday September 17 2018, @12:59AM

      by takyon (881) <reversethis-{gro ... s} {ta} {noykat}> on Monday September 17 2018, @12:59AM (#735800) Journal

      I participated in GJP for a while. Mainly 2-option questions are posed with a slider. You get lots of points for a correct answer made with strong confidence, less points for a correct answer made with low confidence/high uncertainty, less points lost for wrong answer made with low confidence/high uncertainty, and more points lost for a confident/certain wrong answer. The service tries to get you to consider your biases and confidence level, and you have to balance them.

      There are a broad range of topics you can make predictions about, likely to include topics you know little about or topics on which your guess is as good as anybody's. They say GJP is more accurate than "experts", but that may be overstating the value of predictions (predicting the future correctly is still hard, who would have guessed). At the end of the day, you are probably relying primarily on the mainstream media to make your guesses. Theoretically, you could act as a one man (or multiple participant) intelligence agency, finding out shit, calling people, or whatever, to get an edge. bellingcat [] comes to mind.

      [SIG] 10/28/2017: Soylent Upgrade v14 []
  • (Score: 2) by archfeld on Wednesday September 26 2018, @10:16PM

    by archfeld (4650) <> on Wednesday September 26 2018, @10:16PM (#740480) Journal

    Read the Bobiverse at the beginning of this year on my Kindle. I was very good as well as quite funny and creative. I'd also recommend anyone check out Michael Anderle and friends. The joint Kutherian Universe they've put out is nothing short of fantastic.

    For the NSA : Explosives, guns, assassination, conspiracy, primers, detonators, initiators, main charge, nuclear charge