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posted by martyb on Monday January 27 2020, @08:56AM   Printer-friendly
from the stay-aware-and-wash-your-hands dept.

China Battles Coronavirus Outbreak: All the Latest Updates:

The virus thought to have originated in a Wuhan food market continues to spread as China steps up containment efforts.

[...] China is extending the Lunar New Year holiday for three days and enforcing strict containment measures in an attempt to curb the spread of a new coronavirus that has killed 80 people and infected at more than 2,700, most of them in the central province of Hubei where the virus first emerged.

The holiday season was due to end on Friday but will now be extended until February 2.

More than 56 million people in almost 20 cities, including the Hubei capital of Wuhan, have been affected by travel restrictions, introduced amid fears the transmission rate will balloon as hundreds of millions of Chinese travel during the Lunar New Year celebrations.

[...] Health authorities around the world are taking action to prevent a pandemic as more countries report cases. Confirmed cases have so far been announced in several Asiancountries, Europe and North America.

[...] The World Health Organization (WHO) has acknowledged the respiratory illness, which has been traced to the city of Wuhan, is an emergency in China but the organisation said on Thursday it was too early to declare the outbreak a public health emergency of international concern.


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  • (Score: 4, Insightful) by FatPhil on Monday January 27 2020, @11:14AM (1 child)

    by FatPhil (863) <{pc-soylent} {at} {}> on Monday January 27 2020, @11:14AM (#949258) Homepage
    Which bit of "if R_0>>1, then even one non-isolated case is too many to be complacent about"? You've given it about 10 days before jumping to a conclusion, and it's been nothing but exponential in reported growth that time. The fact that you're claiming there's a huge population that's not infected is *part of the danger*, there's nothing there to restrict the continuation of the exponential growth.
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  • (Score: 0) by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 27 2020, @12:47PM

    by Anonymous Coward on Monday January 27 2020, @12:47PM (#949278)

    Exactly. The R0 estimates have gone from 3.5 to 2.5 to 3.3 to 5.47 and mortality is around 5% (76 dead from 1423 confirmed Hubei cases). An R0 of ~5.5, asymptomatic patients being infectious and people collapsing in the street isn't enough to convince some people.