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posted by martyb on Saturday August 08 2020, @11:27AM   Printer-friendly
from the is-crime-data-report-trustworthy? dept.

I imagine most people here already know the stats, it's nothing new, but I found it interesting to review.

Many Americans Are Convinced Crime Is Rising In The U.S. They're Wrong:

"People estimated their risks for a whole host of bad-news life events — robbery, burglary, job loss and losing their health insurance. But the survey didn't just ask respondents to rate their chances: It also asked whether those things had actually happened to them in the last year.

And that combination of questions revealed something important about American fear: We are terrible at estimating our risk of crime — much worse than we are at guessing the danger of other bad things. Across that decade, respondents put their chance of being robbed in the coming year at about 15 percent. Looking back, the actual rate of robbery was 1.2 percent. In contrast, when asked to rate their risk of upcoming job loss, people guessed it was about 14.5 percent — much closer to the actual job loss rate of 12.9 percent."

[...] "In 2019, according to a survey conducted by Gallup, about 64 percent of Americans believed that there was more crime in the U.S. than there was a year ago. It's a belief we've consistently held for decades now, but as you can see in the chart below, we've been, just as consistently, very wrong."

Like I said, more of the same, but might be worth a discussion.


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  • (Score: 1) by khallow on Sunday August 09 2020, @01:05PM (3 children)

    by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Sunday August 09 2020, @01:05PM (#1033775) Journal

    Ah, I see, you use statistics, not live the life.

    So statistics are yet another thing that frightens and confuses poor Caveman Fustakrakich? Who knew? I guess he heard you could lie with statistics.

    I have to say that I love the Caveman Fusta channel. You never know what crazy bullshit he'll pull next! Last episode, he redefined [soylentnews.org] the sociopathy/psychopathy thing (alert the DSM!), diagnosing thousands of people with psychopathy, and told us something was self-evident (though I guess we'll just have to wait to see what was supposed to be self-evident). Plus a guest appearance by aristarchus. Good times!

  • (Score: 1) by fustakrakich on Sunday August 09 2020, @06:24PM (2 children)

    by fustakrakich (6150) on Sunday August 09 2020, @06:24PM (#1033926) Journal

    No fear...

    I would never expect you to live in another man's shoes either. Just the nature of your psychosis. Your posts only clarify your condition

    --
    La politica e i criminali sono la stessa cosa..
    • (Score: 1) by khallow on Sunday August 09 2020, @10:59PM (1 child)

      by khallow (3766) Subscriber Badge on Sunday August 09 2020, @10:59PM (#1034063) Journal

      I would never expect you to live in another man's shoes either.

      Hopefully, you will never use that sentence again, until you've lived in another man's shoes. /Sarc

      Funny how you can't express coherent thought, but there's red-bellied psychoses nesting in my posts. Quite the bird watcher!

      • (Score: 1) by fustakrakich on Sunday August 09 2020, @11:12PM

        by fustakrakich (6150) on Sunday August 09 2020, @11:12PM (#1034068) Journal

        Heh, you're quite a rare bird! Well, maybe not rare, but you sing an interesting tune

        --
        La politica e i criminali sono la stessa cosa..