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posted by hubie on Wednesday January 11 2023, @11:13PM   Printer-friendly
from the GPT-3-is-so-last-month dept.

Although ChatGPT can write about anything, it is also easily confused:

As 2022 came to a close, OpenAI released an automatic writing system called ChatGPT that rapidly became an Internet sensation; less than two weeks after its release, more than a million people had signed up to try it online. As every reader surely knows by now, you type in text, and immediately get back paragraphs and paragraphs of uncannily human-like writing, stories, poems and more. Some of what it writes is so good that some people are using it to pick up dates on Tinder ("Do you mind if I take a seat? Because watching you do those hip thrusts is making my legs feel a little weak.") Other, to the considerable consternation of educators everywhere, are using it write term papers. Still others are using it to try to reinvent search engines . I have never seen anything like this much buzz.

Still, we should not be entirely impressed.

As I told NYT columnist Farhad Manjoo, ChatGPT, like earlier, related systems is "still not reliable, still doesn't understand the physical world, still doesn't understand the psychological world and still hallucinates."

[...] What Silicon Valley, and indeed the world, is waiting for, is GPT-4.

I guarantee that minds will be blown. I know several people who have actually tried GPT-4, and all were impressed. It truly is coming soon (Spring of 2023, according to some rumors). When it comes out, it will totally eclipse ChatGPT; it's safe bet that even more people will be talking about it.

[...] In technical terms, GPT-4 will have more parameters inside of it, requiring more processors and memory to be tied together, and be trained on more data. GPT-1 was trained on 4.6 gigabytes of data, GPT-2 was trained on 46 gigabytes, GPT-3 was trained on 750. GPT-4 will be trained on considerably more, a significant fraction of the internet as a whole. As OpenAI has learned, bigger in many ways means better, with outputs more and more humanlike with each iteration. GPT-4 is going to be a monster.

The article goes on to list 7 "dark predictions" that, if realized, may signal it's time to move on.

Previously:


Original Submission

 
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  • (Score: 2, Interesting) by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 12 2023, @09:53AM (1 child)

    by Anonymous Coward on Thursday January 12 2023, @09:53AM (#1286464)
    The field of AI is still stuck in the alchemy age. Hasn't hit the chemistry age yet.

    Do note that alchemists in the past still managed to accomplish many useful things despite them not really understanding what's going on, or having a good model.

    If scientists have really solved the problem of creating a system that can use low IQ building blocks to reliably produce higher IQ outputs then would they be able to create systems to get groups/committees of humans to produce significantly more intelligent results than any of the smartest individual human members can achieve?

    Or could it be possible that some human neurons are actually very smart... And the brain systems are more like averaging/collating their outputs for redundancy?

    A very large brain is not required for intelligence. A crow with a walnut sized brain can be pretty smart. Comparing the mistakes that crows make vs the mistakes that ChatGPT makes, it seems to me that the crows actually have a better working model of the world - they actually have some "understanding".
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  • (Score: 1) by shrewdsheep on Friday January 13 2023, @02:07PM

    by shrewdsheep (5215) on Friday January 13 2023, @02:07PM (#1286666)

    Are living in a Chinese room, perchance? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Chinese_room [wikipedia.org]