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fliptop [soylentnews.org] writes:

Although ChatGPT can write about anything, it is also easily confused [acm.org]:

As 2022 came to a close, OpenAI released an automatic writing system called ChatGPT that rapidly became an Internet sensation; less than two weeks after its release, more than a million people had signed up to try it online. As every reader surely knows by now, you type in text, and immediately get back paragraphs and paragraphs of uncannily human-like writing, stories, poems and more. Some of what it writes is so good that some people are using it to pick up dates on Tinder [mashable.com] ("Do you mind if I take a seat? Because watching you do those hip thrusts is making my legs feel a little weak.") Other, to the considerable consternation of educators everywhere [slate.com], are using it write term papers. Still others are using it to try to reinvent search engines [perplexity.ai] . I have never seen anything like this much buzz.

Still, we should not be entirely impressed.

As I told NYT columnist Farhad Manjoo [nytimes.com], ChatGPT, like earlier, related systems is "still not reliable, still doesn't understand the physical world, still doesn't understand the psychological world and still hallucinates."

[...] What Silicon Valley, and indeed the world, is waiting for, is GPT-4.

I guarantee that minds will be blown. I know several people who have actually tried GPT-4, and all were impressed. It truly is coming soon [towardsdatascience.com] (Spring of 2023, according to some rumors). When it comes out, it will totally eclipse ChatGPT; it's safe bet that even more people will be talking about it.

[...] In technical terms, GPT-4 will have more parameters inside of it, requiring more processors and memory to be tied together, and be trained on more data. GPT-1 was trained on 4.6 gigabytes of data, GPT-2 was trained on 46 gigabytes, GPT-3 was trained on 750 [s10251.pcdn.co]. GPT-4 will be trained on considerably more, a significant fraction of the internet as a whole. As OpenAI has learned, bigger in many ways means better, with outputs more and more humanlike with each iteration. GPT-4 is going to be a monster.

The article goes on to list 7 "dark predictions" that, if realized, may signal it's time to move on.

Previously:

• ChatGPT Arrives in the Academic World [soylentnews.org]
• Stack Overflow Temporarily Bans Answers From OpenAI's ChatGPT Chatbot [soylentnews.org]
• OpenAI's New ChatGPT Bot: 10 "Dangerous" Things it's Capable of [soylentnews.org]

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