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New Model Predicts Rapid Antarctic Melting

Accepted submission by butthurt at 2016-04-01 01:36:14
Science

Published in Nature [doi.org] (full article is paywalled),

a model coupling ice sheet and climate dynamics—including previously underappreciated processes linking atmospheric warming with hydrofracturing of buttressing ice shelves and structural collapse of marine-terminating ice cliffs

predicts that sea levels could rise by over a metre between now and 2100, due to melting of the Antarctic ice sheet. The predicted rise is about twice as rapid as that predicted by the IPCC [www.ipcc.ch] (PDF) and others.

The story was picked up by The Guardian [theguardian.com], Gizmodo [gizmodo.com], the New Yorker [newyorker.com], the New York Times [nytimes.com] and Slate [slate.com].

Nature [nature.com] has an article summarising this research and relating it to other recent studies published in Nature.

A representative of Climate Central [wikipedia.org] told PBS Newshour [pbs.org] that, due to melting in Greenland and expansion of ocean water as it warms, sea level could rise even faster than the new model predicts: as much as 6 feet (~2 metres) by the end of this century.


Original Submission