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The Banks Strike Back

Accepted submission by at 2016-06-27 18:18:01
Business

While many pundits are trying to write the prequels to Brexit and bemoaning how the "stay" position wasn't properly communicated, the banks have forged ahead to Episode V and are quite happy to predict a recession for the UK in the next quarters -- from https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/usd/5095-pound-to-dollar-exchange-rate-222311 [poundsterlinglive.com] --

The British people have voted to leave the European Union, and this time they will take full ownership of any negative economic consequences - there are no bankers to blame for any negative economic impacts.

Bank of America's Ralf Preusser believes the UK is headed for recession as a result of the increased uncertainty businesses now face, noting:

"Prolonged uncertainty could lead investors - including residential investors - to postpone decisions. We think a recession in the UK will ensue, which cuts our calendar year 2017 GDP growth forecast to 0.2% from 2.3%, even with the Bank of England (BoE) stimulating."

...

Barclays have confirmed they see GDP growth falling to -0.1% in the third and fourth quarters of 2016.

The Guardian has a slightly different Star Wars analogy, https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/27/britain-boris-cricket-leave-lies-referendum-promises [theguardian.com]

“The pound is stable,” explained Johnson, minutes before the pound was revealed to have fallen to a 31-year low, on a morning of financial activity we’ll call Episode V: The Experts Strike Back.


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