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Banks Realize Backing Elon’S Twitter Buyout Is Close To ‘The Worst Buyout Of All Time’

Accepted submission by Arthur T Knackerbracket at 2024-08-22 18:09:41
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Arthur T Knackerbracket has processed the following story [techdirt.com]:

Failures [techdirt.com]

So we just wrote about how advertising on ExTwitter remains in freefall [techdirt.com] and is likely down between 75 and 85% from when Elon took over. And now the Wall Street Journal has a piece recognizing that the banks that financed about $13 billion of the $44 billion Musk needed are admitting that it may be one of the worst buyout deals of all time [wsj.com].

The headline of the article actually underplays the story, calling it “the worst buyout for banks since the financial crisis.” But that’s just based on the “hang” — the length of time the deal has remained on their books. You see, the way this normally works is that the big banks lend the money and then almost immediately turn around and sell off the debt to other suckers to deal with.

But, in the case of Musk and Twitter, the banks immediately rubber-stamped it on the basis of “Ooooh, that Elon, doesn’t he always make money?” and without doing much (if any) due diligence. The entities who would buy the debt actually care about the return (or lack thereof) and were quick to recognize that Musk was going to tank Twitter’s revenue potential.

Some of this was known before. Just as Musk was about to officially gain control of Twitter, it was reported that the banks were regretting their decision as they realized they couldn’t sell the debt [reuters.com]. There was talk of them offering it to other investors for pennies on the dollar. Instead, they all just kept marking down [reuters.com] the value of the debt [techdirt.com].

To make matters worse for all involved, it has been reported that the banks agreed to a sell-down letter [fortune.com], preventing any bank from taking a deal that isn’t offered to the rest of them. But to make matters even worse for Elon specifically, he apparently promised the bankers they wouldn’t lose money [arstechnica.com] on this deal. It’s unclear how binding that promise is, and Musk is somewhat infamous for breaking promises. But it certainly could impact his ability to borrow in the future.

That said, the WSJ article highlights that the banks have had to hang on to the (greatly devalued) loans for a record length of time.

Maybe the banks will think about due diligence next time? I mean, it was no secret that the basic ideas Musk laid out for how he was going to run Twitter were absolute nonsense from Day One.

But, while the headline and the beginning of the piece compare the performance of this deal to the financial crisis, they admit deeper in the article that it may just be one of the worst of all time:

The article admits that many of the banks did the deal because they wanted to star-fuck Elon:

The article notes that the banks that did the Twitter deal, such as Bank of America and Morgan Stanley, are now considered less trustworthy for such deals than the banks that stayed out, like JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs. And in some cases, the bankers who did the deal are seeing their (still massive) bonuses cut because of the deal:

Maybe next time, skip the star-fucking and focus on the actual economics?


Original Submission