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canopic jug [soylentnews.org] writes:

Veteran journalist and distinguished blogger, Robert X Cringely, is back from a multi-year hiatus. His first couple of posts were that he is back and where he had been. The latter leads into his current post on the AI industry's betting on failed models [cringely.com].

Because that is what the essay became, whatever Amodei intended. It gave every other person writing nine- and ten-figure checks a reason not to worry about the one thing that should worry them most. The hallucination problem is the difference between a clever toy and a system a hospital or a bank or a court can actually rely on. It is the whole ballgame for enterprise AI. And the prevailing wisdom, blessed from the top, is that you needn’t address it directly. Scale will provide.

Look at where the money is going and you can see the permission slip being cashed. Stargate, half a trillion dollars. The hyperscalers, tens of billions each per year. The Anthropic–Akamai arrangement, nearly two billion more. The collective bet of the wealthiest companies in the world is that you fix intelligence — including its honesty — by buying more of it. The data center operators are happy. The chip vendors are ecstatic. The labs raising money at valuations with too many zeros are happy. Everyone in that chain has the same incentive, which is to believe that the answer is more.

The customers who will eventually pay for all of it are the ones who should be asking whether any of this is true.

In his previous post, he covered his first hand experience with LLMs [cringely.com] not being fit-for-purpose in their very design.

Previously:
(2020) Bob Cringely is Still Alive and Kicking [soylentnews.org]

Original Submission